La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b4745c8864aaeba6330752d7be4bb83e74d73561b2bb910e89b8261b760167
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 8,895$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.39 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 6,086$4,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.51 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 24c | 6,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.96 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.07 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 77c | 3,293$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.33 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…cf38backed No | 77c | 2,191$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 77c | 1,927$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 77c | 1,579$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 1,531$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.51 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 25c | 1,524$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.6 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 1,313$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.31 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 24c | 885$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b3…c933backed Yes | 25c | 632.8$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.2 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked Yes | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 80c | 565$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 76c | 520.83$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 519.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.62 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…2b64backed Yes | 23c | 503.35$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…3627backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…894ebacked Yes | 29c | 448.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 14c | 403.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb18…d006backed Yes | 16c | 395.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…a45cbacked Yes | 24c | 366.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Yes | 14c | 363.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 76c | 299.7$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Yes | 17c | 294.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed Yes | 23c | 290$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 24c | 281.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 14c | 273.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed Yes | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 18c | 251.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…8fd8backed Yes | 16c | 244.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed No | 73c | 231.36$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 219.9$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 19c | 210.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 205.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0a…36b1backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…9b8cbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 198$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed No | 77c | 193$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…cfeebacked Yes | 19c | 189.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1657…c27ebacked Yes | 18c | 180$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 175$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 76c | 171.42$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 23c | 168.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked No | 77c | 154.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a34…ab75backed Yes | 24c | 152.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…a549backed Yes | 20c | 125.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…e526backed Yes | 20c | 122.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 23c | 116.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 14c | 114.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…841ebacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Yes | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…6190backed Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0771…0cbbbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…d945backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 24c | 97.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 24c | 89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…779dbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…1417backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7825…89a0backed Yes | 24c | 79.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d72…faf7backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 74.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 25c | 70.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6798…4a82backed Yes | 24c | 65.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…9f68backed Yes | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 76c | 53.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 76c | 52.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.