TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,280
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$244,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,280 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes25c30,545$7,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,567.4215034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c21,094$15,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,146.0390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes25c20,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.996240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c19,959$14,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,037.254,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c9,607$7,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,431.362,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes25c7,842$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.8116740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes29c6,739$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.244942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No75c6,225$4,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.2950243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No75c6,056$4,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5143930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes25c6,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.996640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c5,810$4,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.411,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed No78c5,440$4,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.031968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes25c3,376$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.665616.1%9 W · 47 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes25c3,050$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.515516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes28c3,011$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.22334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7805942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7209656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3333…15bdbacked Yes25c2,853$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.222035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No75c2,681$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.257653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ed…4ae2backed No77c2,551$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes23c2,169$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.487236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e77…788dbacked Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed No76c1,990$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.63339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No76c1,974$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.68966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb855…90b2backed No78c1,798$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.56650%3 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes25c1,742$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.534042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked No76c1,370$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.813565.7%23 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yes22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001225%3 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No76c1,300$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3122969%20 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bab…cf38backed No74c1,215$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.813100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes25c1,204$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf56a…fe7cbacked No76c1,187$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.741752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No74c1,097$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.271163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes23c1,013$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2332330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2906640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Yes10c913.83$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No75c847$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7535148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdc…b5e9backed Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes24c807.1$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.75939%23 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed No76c800$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1926643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes7c789.97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3821322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes25c778.91$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.584742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked No78c684.61$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.611172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb18…d006backed Yes17c680.62$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.682857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes3c631.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.95922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03bc…530cbacked Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Yes25c600$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1487844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94d…9282backed Yes29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes25c595.12$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8321626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ef…dc51backed Yes25c592.04$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4aa…a19bbacked Yes29c550$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-56.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4984…7aaabacked Yes25c549.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d57…9569backed Yes5c512.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked No77c512.15$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.432060%12 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes24c510.75$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5879133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2090…7584backed No72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd832…67e0backed Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011244.6%50 W · 62 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No71c499.99$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1455046%23 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No71c499.97$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.667851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes28c498$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7430634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes11c490.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.381,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No79c488$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes5c483.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No74c469.91$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.723947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes22c466.39$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.51936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes24c462.1$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b40…b77abacked No72c450$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb51b…779dbacked Yes25c448.32$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-77.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c442.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8253242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1783…7180backed Yes13c420.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b5…a549backed Yes24c419.21$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.611346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+56.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes24c412.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993129%9 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b22…8cd6backed Yes29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-22%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x81e3…f2c9backed No72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x441d…7a4ebacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10022746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10411444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12e2…36b0backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006920.3%14 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed No76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.744358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No72c377.63$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7461657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No70c356.4$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.927953.2%42 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ba…c976backed Yes25c352$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c335.55$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2983650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked No76c333.45$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.03850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52ca…1d63backed No76c328.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.953268.8%22 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed No77c317$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693873.7%28 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No74c300$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.520642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ec…01a3backed Yes4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dcb…c800backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No71c279.71$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8633544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x291e…4b6abacked Yes24c276.38$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.33742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No73c272$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4423250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…ce88backed Yes30c265.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb0…f162backed No76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.16683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7709…841ebacked Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.