TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Lightning vs. Stars: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$450,673
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$452,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,673 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x88fa…7b8fbacked Over55c67,705$37,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,231.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under45c21,975$9,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,090.0556152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over55c17,207$9,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,467.111,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa7…d4dbbacked Over55c12,969$7,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,132.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over56c10,339$5,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,813.3821036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under44c7,620$3,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,267.141,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d1…a718backed Under44c6,111$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,422.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef5…6b57backed Over56c5,500$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,08010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f7e…35f2backed Under44c5,469$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,062.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc2b…0a52backed Over57c5,300$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0211136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46ed…4c8cbacked Under45c5,299$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,927.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f5…e5f4backed Over56c5,120$2,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,867.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d98…56cfbacked Under45c4,836$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc517…2476backed Under45c4,829$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,655.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e3…3192backed Under45c4,760$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fd…84e6backed Over56c4,750$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,66010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf04…ad21backed Under45c4,727$2,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d7…4564backed Over56c4,660$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1dd…74a3backed Under44c4,650$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5337…8fcfbacked Under45c4,553$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,504.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+114.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf16…0949backed Under45c4,545$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c3…1356backed Under45c4,533$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,493.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef30…dd93backed Under45c4,505$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,477.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc990…8c0bbacked Under45c4,486$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd22c…10d4backed Under45c4,465$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d1…53e4backed Under45c4,424$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde38…9f2bbacked Under45c4,351$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcafa…9399backed Under45c4,348$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,391.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac9…1a50backed Under45c4,330$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,381.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6167…7761backed Under45c4,296$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,362.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5227…d938backed Under45c4,264$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,345.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ba…7e11backed Under44c4,230$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e6…c87abacked Under45c4,218$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22fd…c088backed Over56c4,200$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4164…d820backed Under45c4,186$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbfd…4d53backed Under45c4,176$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e4b…5266backed Under45c4,148$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,281.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over55c4,139$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.451,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…3930backed Under45c4,124$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda4a…c7fabacked Under45c4,101$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd802…49a9backed Under45c4,083$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c25…a480backed Under45c4,080$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2cb…d03fbacked Under45c4,075$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc27…4c3abacked Under45c4,067$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d02…65e4backed Under45c4,055$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x323f…bd8dbacked Under45c4,032$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd27…88c3backed Over55c4,027$2,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,214.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcea…4645backed Under45c4,021$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under45c4,010$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.4926058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x768c…0066backed Under45c3,989$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf37b…2051backed Under45c3,987$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over54c3,972$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.0233345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df6…68cebacked Over55c3,972$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17c8…9dd2backed Over55c3,970$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe223…752abacked Over55c3,955$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,175.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedbe…9054backed Over55c3,945$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ca…d784backed Under45c3,941$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6c…853cbacked Under43c3,900$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2236100%6 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x59b4…c4bebacked Under45c3,891$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc9…e55dbacked Under45c3,880$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde44…e8b9backed Under45c3,879$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf5f…1cf6backed Under45c3,872$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a2…1231backed Under45c3,794$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf013…d19bbacked Under45c3,788$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,083.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf640…53f9backed Over55c3,782$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4564…63bebacked Under45c3,773$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…fb86backed Over55c3,717$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b61…61b3backed Under45c3,700$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,035475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+66.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xded5…01c6backed Over55c3,695$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76e1…b841backed Under45c3,687$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x214f…17dabacked Over55c3,686$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098d…77f7backed Over55c3,680$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc69c…8401backed Over55c3,668$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,017.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3925…2d12backed Over56c3,650$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3924…fafcbacked Over55c3,637$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9456…e0f7backed Over55c3,633$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef4…f3a8backed Under45c3,607$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4642…dc09backed Under45c3,571$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ba…0dfebacked Under45c3,560$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d0…053bbacked Over55c3,558$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c09…65f5backed Over55c3,550$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+63.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7b8…f996backed Under45c3,550$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb39e…7dc5backed Under45c3,523$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8206…7195backed Over55c3,500$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…059bbacked Under45c3,467$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc96b…7777backed Under45c3,451$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bae…88f9backed Under45c3,437$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0900…9d2fbacked Under45c3,422$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2293…1fc2backed Under45c3,378$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519f…f6e4backed Over55c3,353$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1f…ae7dbacked Under45c3,349$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a8…a9bebacked Under45c3,348$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d9…0e99backed Over55c3,339$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xded1…1738backed Under45c3,329$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…440fbacked Under45c3,324$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb93d…30a9backed Under45c3,298$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a5…72bfbacked Under45c3,287$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd725…ca11backed Under45c3,266$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf623…dca9backed Under45c3,262$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b9…d021backed Under43c3,256$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.