NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdfe814727ceee0e57efce2fe7efaa4bac46528ecddb1862a2b9e92e0de5b7f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,457,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,478,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,457,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,071 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Lightning | 54c | 464,341$250,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214,200.81 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Stars | 46c | 189,273$87,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,065.77 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lightning | 52c | 119,708$62,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,501.5 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Stars | 47c | 100,000$46,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,500 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Stars | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,000 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Stars | 48c | 71,658$34,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 48c | 60,141$28,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,874.3 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Lightning | 52c | 50,575$26,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,024.97 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Lightning | 51c | 43,176$22,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,156 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Lightning | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,799.99 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Stars | 47c | 30,030$14,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,114.1 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Lightning | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,099.91 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 46c | 17,678$8,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,174.53 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stars | 46c | 16,513$7,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,605.12 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…0944backed Stars | 47c | 15,617$7,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,339.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Stars | 47c | 14,840$6,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,974.8 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Stars | 47c | 14,186$6,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,641.34 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Stars | 46c | 12,222$5,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,622.12 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Stars | 49c | 10,172$4,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,984.27 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Stars | 50c | 9,698$4,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,849.06 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Lightning | 53c | 9,355$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,396.99 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Stars | 48c | 9,000$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Stars | 46c | 9,000$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.99 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Stars | 48c | 8,089$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.72 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -13.5wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Stars | 47c | 7,322$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.57 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lightning | 52c | 7,100$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Stars | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Stars | 16c | 6,352$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.34 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Stars | 49c | 6,173$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.85 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Stars | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Stars | 49c | 5,600$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.8 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Stars | 48c | 5,408$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.84 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Lightning | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Stars | 47c | 4,974$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.78 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Stars | 48c | 4,645$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.3 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Lightning | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Stars | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Stars | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Stars | 47c | 3,960$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.2 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Stars | 47c | 3,762$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.94 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da8…e5afbacked Lightning | 54c | 3,670$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Stars | 49c | 3,600$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stars | 47c | 3,579$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Lightning | 57c | 3,534$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.59 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Stars | 43c | 3,390$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.41 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Stars | 47c | 3,200$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Stars | 47c | 3,163$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.61 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars | 47c | 3,086$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.34 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Lightning | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.92 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Stars | 46c | 2,899$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.62 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Lightning | 53c | 2,550$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.61 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Stars | 49c | 2,546$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.32 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.8wins | -0.36per pick | 57cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Stars | 47c | 2,532$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Stars | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 47c | 2,403$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.07 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 42c | 2,320$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.47 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 48c | 2,182$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.92 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Stars | 48c | 2,071$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.24 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1914…ee1ebacked Lightning | 52c | 2,061$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a5…a5f9backed Stars | 48c | 2,055$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Stars | 12c | 2,040$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.81 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Lightning | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Stars | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Lightning | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f5…8aafbacked Lightning | 51c | 1,943$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Stars | 49c | 1,903$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.39 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…b51ebacked Stars | 50c | 1,752$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Stars | 15c | 1,752$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.71 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Stars | 48c | 1,700$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.22 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 36c | 1,663$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.22 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Stars | 5c | 1,544$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…b227backed Lightning | 52c | 1,543$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Stars | 29c | 1,533$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.08 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2df…94b9backed Stars | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Stars | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…a957backed Lightning | 50c | 1,499$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0db…b33abacked Lightning | 50c | 1,499$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd6…ab28backed Stars | 50c | 1,499$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90b…7af3backed Stars | 50c | 1,499$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee51…73e4backed Lightning | 50c | 1,499$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…c88fbacked Stars | 50c | 1,499$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…d2d5backed Stars | 50c | 1,499$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…fbefbacked Lightning | 50c | 1,499$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67dc…10f8backed Lightning | 50c | 1,498$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b09…a456backed Lightning | 50c | 1,498$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…3e2abacked Stars | 50c | 1,498$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6f…9a2abacked Stars | 50c | 1,498$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776d…dfc7backed Stars | 50c | 1,497$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…8ca8backed Lightning | 50c | 1,497$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…7ccfbacked Lightning | 50c | 1,497$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db4…6751backed Stars | 50c | 1,497$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…b41bbacked Stars | 50c | 1,496$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc7…d02dbacked Stars | 50c | 1,496$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe135…8ba0backed Lightning | 50c | 1,496$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…69e3backed Lightning | 50c | 1,496$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16e…d39abacked Lightning | 50c | 1,496$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166d…fa7bbacked Stars | 50c | 1,496$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Starsthis page
- Lightning vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.