NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b224af24dd17e9ff22e33aa3ddd671eb56c936c27e36c19cc8dc8ff96ff9517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $401,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $404,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 59c | 364,103$214,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,523.21 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 41c | 150,000$61,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,500 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Over | 41c | 126,130$51,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,713.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 41c | 50,000$20,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,500 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 41c | 11,111$4,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,555.51 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 42c | 11,000$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 42c | 7,924$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.88 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 58c | 6,500$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.98 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 43c | 6,206$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.78 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 3,239$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.68 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 58c | 2,650$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.96 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 43c | 2,471$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.98 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Over | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.98 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 42c | 1,675$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.61 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 1,556$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.76 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Over | 46c | 1,089$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 1,069$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.63 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 42c | 999.98$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.99 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Under | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 48c | 799.99$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 23c | 702.05$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.3 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 57c | 550.91$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.89 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 42c | 546$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Under | 59c | 515.91$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.91 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 36c | 467.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.31 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 58c | 463.72$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.76 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Over | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 52c | 321.6$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.37 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 32c | 314.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 43c | 302.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 29c | 273.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Over | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 50c | 199.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 40c | 175.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 174.79$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 42c | 161.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 8c | 158$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 58c | 152.26$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…7657backed Over | 44c | 143.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 17c | 136.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed Under | 53c | 123$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 52c | 103.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 22c | 100.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Under | 58c | 97.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 58c | 76.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 41c | 74.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…8fa7backed Under | 68c | 73.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132d…22fabacked Under | 68c | 73.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 75cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…f72cbacked Under | 68c | 73.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f58…f645backed Under | 68c | 73.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5c…54ffbacked Under | 68c | 73.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 73cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a4…0078backed Under | 69c | 72.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4461…392abacked Under | 69c | 72.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d08…20a4backed Under | 69c | 72.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 75cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…96abbacked Under | 69c | 72.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…587dbacked Under | 70c | 71.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 75cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10f6…de70backed Under | 70c | 71.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0b…00d8backed Under | 70c | 71.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf700…e16cbacked Under | 70c | 71.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…7245backed Under | 70c | 71.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…46b9backed Under | 70c | 71.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…a2dcbacked Under | 70c | 71.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f49…7592backed Under | 71c | 70.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…e0d0backed Under | 71c | 70.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe884…b25ebacked Under | 71c | 70.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…bf2ebacked Under | 71c | 70.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 42c | 68.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…f797backed Under | 76c | 65.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 57c | 63.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 44c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over | 42c | 59.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…797abacked Under | 70c | 56.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 41c | 55.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1992…be7abacked Under | 77c | 49.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Under | 57c | 49.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…291abacked Over | 46c | 43.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Under | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Under | 59c | 42.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Under | 54c | 35.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 30c | 35.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Under | 59c | 33.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…0dd5backed Over | 44c | 31.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Stars: O/U 6.5this page
- Lightning vs. StarsLightning won
- Lightning vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.