Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Portland Pilots vs. Pepperdine Waves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5543784d9017b8c7cef5bbc7735b53a7168fffd095a9d150049f1d556ca53668
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pepperdine Wavesof Portland Pilots, Pepperdine Waves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Portland Pilots | 57c | 2,204$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.35 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Pepperdine Waves | 44c | 1,956$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.41 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pepperdine Waves | 43c | 1,169$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Portland Pilots | 57c | 1,141$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.53 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Portland Pilots | 56c | 808.63$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.47 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Portland Pilots | 54c | 747$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.91 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pepperdine Waves | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Portland Pilots | 55c | 699.75$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.06 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Pepperdine Waves | 44c | 688.13$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.68 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pepperdine Waves | 63c | 417.26$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.53 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Pepperdine Waves | 46c | 414.52$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.52 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Portland Pilots | 54c | 380.61$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.53 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Pepperdine Waves | 36c | 345.71$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.81 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Portland Pilots | 6c | 337$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Pepperdine Waves | 45c | 314.6$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.03 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Pepperdine Waves | 44c | 299.98$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.99 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Portland Pilots | 54c | 260.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pepperdine Waves | 74c | 234.73$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked Portland Pilots | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pepperdine Waves | 65c | 189.52$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Portland Pilots | 41c | 175.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Pepperdine Waves | 55c | 151.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Portland Pilots | 15c | 134$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Portland Pilots | 53c | 127.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Portland Pilots | 58c | 119.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pepperdine Waves | 50c | 109.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pepperdine Waves | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Portland Pilots | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Pepperdine Waves | 34c | 96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Portland Pilots | 51c | 87.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Pepperdine Waves | 31c | 81.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Pepperdine Waves | 31c | 74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Portland Pilots | 55c | 72.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Portland Pilots | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Pepperdine Waves | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Portland Pilots | 51c | 45.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Portland Pilots | 56c | 45.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19c6…42a6backed Portland Pilots | 58c | 44.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Portland Pilots | 50c | 41.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Portland Pilots | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Pepperdine Waves | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Portland Pilots | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Pepperdine Waves | 43c | 34.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Pepperdine Waves | 67c | 29.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab0a…36b1backed Portland Pilots | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.37per pick | 60cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pepperdine Waves | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Portland Pilots | 56c | 19.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Pilots vs. Pepperdine Wavesthis page
- Portland Pilots vs. Pepperdine Waves: O/U 146.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.