Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Baylor Bears vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54de01648ac0b174b55523095a30232e22b99cc77db1451c4de02bebdee1d5e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Bearcatsof Baylor Bears, Cincinnati Bearcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb99d…ec9dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 63c | 19,977$12,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,391.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Baylor Bears | 37c | 14,633$5,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.76 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Baylor Bears | 37c | 5,661$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.47 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 77c | 1,926$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.45 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 63c | 1,602$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.74 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…ba61backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 79c | 1,433$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 62c | 1,311$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.08 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Baylor Bears | 37c | 1,273$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.03 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Baylor Bears | 36c | 1,184$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.83 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Baylor Bears | 27c | 1,161$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.54 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baylor Bears | 17c | 1,054$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.03 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Baylor Bears | 38c | 1,005$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.9 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Baylor Bears | 37c | 909$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.56 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Baylor Bears | 26c | 799.95$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 62c | 767.15$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Baylor Bears | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 64c | 593.75$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 63c | 519.54$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.22 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Baylor Bears | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baylor Bears | 20c | 458.03$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Baylor Bears | 26c | 361.18$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Baylor Bears | 27c | 309.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 76c | 302$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Baylor Bears | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6052…c0c3backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 64c | 294.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.19 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 70c | 285$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe71e…8e58backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baylor Bears | 21c | 273.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Baylor Bears | 39c | 231.13$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Baylor Bears | 29c | 191.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 70c | 182.88$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baylor Bears | 23c | 174.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…d13abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 71c | 140$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…c035backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Baylor Bears | 27c | 110.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…f34ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Baylor Bears | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Baylor Bears | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baylor Bears | 24c | 98.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 62c | 97.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 64c | 94.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Baylor Bears | 24c | 83.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Baylor Bears | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Baylor Bears | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Baylor Bears | 33c | 60.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Baylor Bears | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Baylor Bears | 39c | 46.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 75c | 39.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 73c | 35.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…e0bcbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab0a…36b1backed Baylor Bears | 38c | 30.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.37per pick | 60cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a71…4f0fbacked Baylor Bears | 38c | 29.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf2…a4acbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…c75cbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 80c | 24.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd7…3d20backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 63c | 23.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 61c | 23.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…2f22backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 64c | 20.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…036abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 74c | 20.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…c170backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bec0backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 79c | 19.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…a474backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 64c | 18.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ba…79a5backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +160%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…2632backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baylor Bears vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsthis page
- Baylor Bears vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 145.5Under won
- Baylor Bears vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 146.5Under won
- Baylor Bears vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 147.5Under won
- Baylor Bears vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-3.5)Cincinnati Bearcats won
- Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-4.5)Cincinnati Bearcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.