Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Baylor Bears vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08754ca8499ffa814c09177d5c7410ac09889528db7c31d0240fd9969882670f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 53c | 22,695$12,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,028.24 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 20,444$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,844.46 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.99 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 47c | 6,747$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.81 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 48c | 4,721$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.46 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Under | 47c | 1,771$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.4 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 1,379$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.87 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 47c | 446$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 51c | 372$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.72 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Over | 56c | 370$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 53c | 305$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.65 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 177.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed Under | 48c | 166.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 45c | 126$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…a5f1backed Under | 48c | 95.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baylor Bears vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 145.5this page
- Baylor Bears vs. Cincinnati BearcatsCincinnati Bearcats won
- Baylor Bears vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 146.5Under won
- Baylor Bears vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 147.5Under won
- Baylor Bears vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-3.5)Cincinnati Bearcats won
- Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-4.5)Cincinnati Bearcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.