Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b4b6d0fba8860423c65e62045380878bf16e8155d5e58277af99f65c625509c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,995,643
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,437,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,995,643 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 549 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	4c	41,404$1,862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,542.42	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	64c	34,297$21,896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,401.22	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9285…c19dbacked Yes	0c	32,885$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,851.45	274	0.4%1 W · 273 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	+257.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	10c	31,226$3,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,184.73	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	25,700$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,668.57	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed Yes	2c	20,446$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,025.7	235	9.4%22 W · 213 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	20,424$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,362.41	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	20,403$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,357.05	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	54c	19,215$10,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,920.29	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73fd…861ebacked Yes	2c	18,726$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,426.01	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.98per pick	2cpaid	+6,147.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Yes	0c	18,481$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,462.27	129	0.8%1 W · 128 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+675.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes	0c	18,351$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,332.45	136	0.7%1 W · 135 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+635.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	65c	18,294$11,956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,338.37	84	23.8%20 W · 64 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df9…71d8backed Yes	0c	18,076$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,057.69	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	0cpaid	+6,150%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	0c	16,111$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,077.6	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	15,848$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,693.72	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	21c	14,932$3,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,829.34	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	2c	14,600$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,376.74	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff4e…5502backed Yes	0c	14,000$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,985.99	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	0cpaid	+2,531.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x957f…0c71backed No	1c	13,271$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	11cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	2c	11,660$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,392.87	115	9.6%11 W · 104 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	24c	11,551$2,830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,721.2	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes	6c	11,508$651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,857.13	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	11,208$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,785.3	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	11,122$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,057.06	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	0c	10,074$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,024.44	797	11.3%90 W · 707 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,990	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f2a…984dbacked Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,980	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+1.00per pick	0cpaid	+49,900%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd85d…e660backed No	1c	9,808$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	13c	9,246$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,086	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	0c	9,000$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,972.91	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	4c	8,979$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,633.47	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	4c	8,559$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,183.46	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	38c	8,135$3,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,060.25	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	7,500$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,488.35	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8585…cbf4backed Yes	9c	7,447$704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,743.56	120	9.2%11 W · 109 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	2c	7,433$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,312.9	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	7,358$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,191.73	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	39c	7,170$2,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,354.87	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	30c	6,577$1,957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,620.66	599	27%162 W · 437 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	6,316$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,137.86	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	10c	6,000$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,390	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	55c	5,959$3,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,681.62	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Yes	3c	5,907$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,752.08	69	13%9 W · 60 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	28c	5,800$1,652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,148.12	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	56c	5,287$2,958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,328.91	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	1c	5,188$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,124.52	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	1c	5,070$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,998.34	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes	35c	4,973$1,722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,250.77	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Yes	0c	4,868$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,850.16	122	4.9%6 W · 116 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+213.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	5c	4,848$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,588.61	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc201…eeb2backed Yes	3c	4,751$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,631.12	133	13.5%18 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2ed…8808backed Yes	55c	4,664$2,566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,097.64	79	36.7%29 W · 50 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c33…ce95backed Yes	52c	4,310$2,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,049.06	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes	1c	4,294$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,265.99	38	5.3%2 W · 36 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	1cpaid	+471%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Yes	62c	4,165$2,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,601.21	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	48c	4,142$1,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,147.02	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffd8…1a4dbacked No	1c	4,123$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	43	4.7%2 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	2c	4,000$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,926.09	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked No	35c	3,861$1,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,343.29	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdba…e7a2backed Yes	2c	3,824$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,763.65	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	7c	3,769$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,490.18	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	9c	3,500$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,197.66	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb30a…250ebacked No	22c	3,310$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.51	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…e619backed Yes	47c	3,302$1,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,744.33	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15cf…d12cbacked Yes	59c	3,182$1,865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,316.57	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	71c	3,149$2,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,239.65	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e9e…d504backed No	16c	3,117$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	1c	3,000$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,978.91	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	11c	3,000$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,664.91	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	16c	2,938$477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,461.24	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a2…293bbacked No	1c	2,897$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x48e8…b6dcbacked No	1c	2,869$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd21…3c10backed Yes	21c	2,858$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,251.05	80	21.3%17 W · 63 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	3c	2,657$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,578.9	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5a…0a70backed Yes	6c	2,647$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,477.68	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+152.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2377…1481backed Yes	12c	2,632$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,312.41	172	8.7%15 W · 157 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x366c…ec01backed Yes	5c	2,557$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,439.39	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+107.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa66b…20c1backed Yes	1c	2,511$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,490.8	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	9cpaid	+1,610.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	2,507$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,467.1	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	2,500$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,485	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x844a…5f53backed Yes	9c	2,360$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,152.45	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe15a…9854backed Yes	6c	2,317$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,180.99	59	23.7%14 W · 45 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes	13c	2,302$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000.96	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	1c	2,300$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,287.4	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6820…bd5dbacked No	1c	2,248$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	1c	2,200$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,186.83	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbfc…a7c0backed Yes	73c	2,184$1,601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.26	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-68.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74cc…d86bbacked Yes	2c	2,178$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,132.63	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+445.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b27…7908backed Yes	2c	2,143$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,105.36	97	27.8%27 W · 70 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	19c	2,131$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,726.23	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5476…cd93backed Yes	1c	2,099$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,085.93	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+624.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	2,075$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,053.79	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d31…4443backed Yes	16c	2,025$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,707.72	59	13.6%8 W · 51 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,980	108	17.6%19 W · 89 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	12c	2,000$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,761.8	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,979.97	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Yes	21c	1,964$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,544.25	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd272…fa58backed Yes	7c	1,954$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,818.84	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+193.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event