NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd461c402f04f24792655537d27afa7054ad8d968eae10747f000a82251117cf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,835,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,961,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,835,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Heat | 42c | 149,415$63,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,260.1 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Celtics | 56c | 146,000$82,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,979.96 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed Heat | 43c | 116,000$49,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,879.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Celtics | 58c | 99,759$57,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,048.93 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Celtics | 57c | 80,000$45,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,400 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat | 46c | 73,648$33,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,721.77 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Celtics | 56c | 70,795$39,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,149.67 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Heat | 43c | 66,091$28,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,300 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 42c | 44,510$18,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,694.08 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Celtics | 51c | 39,950$20,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,740.05 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Celtics | 57c | 36,477$20,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,570.36 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 62c | 31,439$19,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,406.93 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Celtics | 58c | 28,503$16,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,971.45 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Heat | 75c | 27,882$20,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,811.15 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Celtics | 57c | 23,000$13,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,889.95 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Celtics | 56c | 22,500$12,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,988.64 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Celtics | 33c | 21,689$7,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,426.99 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67eb…7ed0backed Celtics | 56c | 21,399$12,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,327.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Heat | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics | 45c | 18,602$8,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,168.43 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 45c | 18,217$8,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,157.1 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Celtics | 25c | 17,053$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,852.74 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Heat | 45c | 16,894$7,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,529.73 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 45c | 16,586$7,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,083.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Celtics | 77c | 16,316$12,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.09 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eee…0a68backed Heat | 17c | 15,611$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Celtics | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Celtics | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics | 59c | 14,751$8,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,065.45 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Heat | 43c | 14,599$6,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,277.65 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 1c | 13,567$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Heat | 43c | 13,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.85 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Heat | 43c | 11,407$4,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,904.84 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Heat | 1c | 10,902$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Heat | 42c | 10,468$4,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,396.53 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heat | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Celtics | 55c | 10,000$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Heat | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Celtics | 45c | 8,911$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.53 | 177 | 23.7%42 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 44c | 8,505$3,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,758.71 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Celtics | 56c | 8,052$4,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.07 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 63c | 7,837$4,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,955.08 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 41c | 7,788$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.18 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Heat | 44c | 7,657$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Heat | 41c | 7,632$3,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,129.15 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed Heat | 44c | 7,364$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Heat | 45c | 7,236$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.2 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Celtics | 55c | 7,001$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150.44 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Heat | 44c | 6,999$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.54 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc7…a83cbacked Heat | 44c | 6,490$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Heat | 48c | 6,146$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.3 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 44c | 6,002$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Celtics | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Celtics | 35c | 6,000$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.06 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Heat | 7c | 5,555$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…27dfbacked Heat | 44c | 5,325$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…b9eebacked Celtics | 56c | 5,254$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Heat | 43c | 5,221$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -10.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heat | 43c | 5,094$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.86 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heat | 47c | 5,068$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.97 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Heat | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Heat | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Heat | 58c | 4,952$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.18 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…04babacked Celtics | 56c | 4,755$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1b…b9cebacked Heat | 44c | 4,670$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 43c | 4,607$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Celtics | 33c | 4,592$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.05 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 54c | 4,555$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.37 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Heat | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Heat | 45c | 4,363$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.3 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Heat | 47c | 4,285$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.02 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 58c | 4,162$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.74 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Heat | 62c | 4,106$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Celtics | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Heat | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.95 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Heat | 44c | 3,934$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.96 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Celtics | 21c | 3,923$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.24 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…1c15backed Celtics | 57c | 3,856$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.29 | 224 | 59.4%133 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Celtics | 57c | 3,791$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.82 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 49c | 3,767$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Heat | 44c | 3,730$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.19 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Celtics | 57c | 3,600$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed Heat | 44c | 3,600$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Celtics | 37c | 3,591$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.55 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Heat | 43c | 3,571$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.67 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Heat | 45c | 3,540$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…6611backed Celtics | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Celtics | 17c | 3,458$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.58 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Heat | 42c | 3,426$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.94 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Heat | 44c | 3,420$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.75 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Heat | 1c | 3,410$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…f1bcbacked Heat | 43c | 3,250$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Celtics | 57c | 3,243$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.41 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Celtics | 54c | 3,222$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.87 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 58c | 3,114$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.87 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Celtics | 33c | 3,099$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.11 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Heat | 53c | 3,087$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.34 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Heat | 43c | 3,066$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.38 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Celtics | 46c | 3,061$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.93 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Heatthis page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Heat won
- Celtics vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 232.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.