NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x461dbd38272d330a9e7508a555ce33cb22c4b794c340863f451ea1dca2a25b7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $325,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 48c | 162,212$78,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,306.04 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Celtics | 52c | 120,499$62,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,839.52 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Heat | 49c | 68,633$33,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,688 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 51c | 33,030$16,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,332.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 51c | 28,174$14,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,805.2 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 51c | 25,166$12,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,331.33 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Celtics | 52c | 10,611$5,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,093.28 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Heat | 50c | 7,476$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,738 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…7a59backed Heat | 50c | 6,960$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4036…5a2bbacked Celtics | 48c | 5,800$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 51c | 5,777$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.84 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…b8f8backed Heat | 50c | 4,580$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Celtics | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Celtics | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…0503backed Celtics | 49c | 3,969$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517e…4cd6backed Heat | 51c | 3,820$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…60a2backed Celtics | 49c | 3,563$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Heat | 50c | 3,396$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.18 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207c…0b7dbacked Heat | 51c | 3,320$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…b948backed Heat | 51c | 3,123$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e68…619abacked Heat | 52c | 3,077$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6198…f3c3backed Celtics | 49c | 3,025$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtics | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.09 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Celtics | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 50c | 2,865$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.86 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa89…f003backed Heat | 51c | 2,863$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…0e07backed Heat | 52c | 2,692$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Celtics | 51c | 2,645$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.1 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…38c2backed Celtics | 49c | 2,569$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Celtics | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 51c | 2,332$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.68 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Heat | 49c | 2,283$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.67 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Celtics | 51c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.97 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Celtics | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.78 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Heat | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.95 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Heat | 69c | 1,454$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Heat | 52c | 1,356$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4d…a31ebacked Heat | 49c | 1,345$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 26c | 1,118$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Heat | 49c | 1,084$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.98 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Celtics | 37c | 1,068$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.98 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Celtics | 52c | 807.69$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.69 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Heat | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Celtics | 52c | 787$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.2 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…d900backed Heat | 49c | 712.5$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics | 52c | 638$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.24 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Celtics | 51c | 627.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.71 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…d438backed Heat | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Heat | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Celtics | 50c | 600$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics | 30c | 548.46$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.92 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Celtics | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Celtics | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Celtics | 51c | 499.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.98 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Heat | 48c | 422.92$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Celtics | 51c | 382.31$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.33 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics | 32c | 353.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.06 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 51c | 319.53$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Celtics | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Celtics | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Celtics | 50c | 288$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 79c | 277$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.29 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e96…59f1backed Heat | 50c | 222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Celtics | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Celtics | 50c | 203.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Heat | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Heat | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Celtics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…4c9dbacked Heat | 50c | 193.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Celtics | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Celtics | 51c | 186$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…b5e8backed Celtics | 51c | 169.82$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Heat | 52c | 167.07$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…db35backed Celtics | 51c | 166.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…f34fbacked Heat | 50c | 160.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Celtics | 51c | 156$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Celtics | 56c | 150.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Celtics | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Heat | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf28…9144backed Celtics | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Heat | 80c | 120$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Celtics | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Heat | 51c | 108.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Heat | 50c | 106.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fc…aa69backed Heat | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…cff9backed Celtics | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Celtics | 50c | 99.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Celtics | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Celtics | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ab…7ecdbacked Heat | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Heat | 51c | 87.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Heat | 51c | 78.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Celtics | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…3f4fbacked Celtics | 32c | 76.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Celtics | 51c | 68.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Celtics | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…3e32backed Heat | 50c | 60.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Celtics | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Heat won
- Celtics vs. HeatCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 232.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.