NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 233.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aa8265467bcf5239ec95dee0b355a45710287921156551b5790e8d137283110

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 16, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $102,367
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $114,511

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,367 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1117…3532backed Over	53c	25,463$13,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,373.85	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under	49c	22,064$10,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,350.45	167	52.1%87 W · 80 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	51c	12,115$6,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,215.42	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under	49c	9,920$4,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,059.2	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	48c	8,046$3,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,191.76	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	47c	5,437$2,535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,902.4	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under	47c	4,628$2,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,452.66	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-8.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	52c	3,665$1,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,907.83	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,559.99	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	51c	2,964$1,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,513.64	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Over	51c	2,803$1,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,429.74	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	51c	2,614$1,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,333.14	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	47c	2,072$974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,098.72	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	762	49.5%377 W · 385 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	48c	1,300$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under	50c	1,263$631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.48	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	49c	1,104$541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.25	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	50c	709.24$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.62	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	52c	691.54$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.52	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Under	49c	650$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.5	102	51%52 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under	49c	612$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.12	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	617	40.7%251 W · 366 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over	53c	600$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over	53c	600$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318	218	58.7%128 W · 90 L	+17.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under	48c	600$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312	98	50%49 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	49c	588$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.88	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Under	47c	531.91$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.91	92	50%46 W · 46 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Under	47c	425.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.53	133	54.1%72 W · 61 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over	17c	395.86$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.54	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under	47c	351$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.03	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	54c	337$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.3	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	53c	320$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.6	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	42c	284.91$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.27	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked Over	51c	276.29$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.91	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over	53c	271.83$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.86	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over	53c	240$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.2	1,028	48.5%499 W · 529 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over	15c	215.88$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.72	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Over	51c	199.99$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.99	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under	48c	196$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.92	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under	48c	193$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.36	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	55c	125$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.27	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	47c	121$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.3	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over	53c	111$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.83	231	53.2%123 W · 108 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Under	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.5	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	876	47.5%416 W · 460 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Over	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.4	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	635	55.6%353 W · 282 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Over	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	111	37.8%42 W · 69 L	-14.2wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-28%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over	50c	99.01$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.83	689	40.2%277 W · 412 L	-54.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over	51c	98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	-15.0wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	51c	90.16$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.35	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over	48c	85$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.06	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over	53c	84$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.52	717	47.6%341 W · 376 L	+18.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under	47c	73.39$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.92	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Under	50c	67.48$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.74	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over	53c	66$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.98	340	53.8%183 W · 157 L	+16.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over	53c	66$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.98	342	54.1%185 W · 157 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	51c	63.37$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.32	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	555	33.5%186 W · 369 L	-15.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over	54c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	734	45.5%334 W · 400 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	53c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	331	47.4%157 W · 174 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over	53c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.04	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over	54c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	48c	56.75$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.35	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Under	46c	54.35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.35	169	47.3%80 W · 89 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Over	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over	53c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	312	50.3%157 W · 155 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over	53c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	315	51.1%161 W · 154 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Under	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under	50c	45$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over	53c	44$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.32	366	51.4%188 W · 178 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	217	56.7%123 W · 94 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Under	47c	42.75$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.45	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	154	49.4%76 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over	54c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.52	288	52.8%152 W · 136 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-6.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	479	48%230 W · 249 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-4.2wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Under	48c	39.58$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.58	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-6.3wins	-0.29per pick	51cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over	53c	38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.14	204	56.4%115 W · 89 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over	53c	36$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.08	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+20.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over	53c	36$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.08	150	51.3%77 W · 73 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over	53c	34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.02	237	53.6%127 W · 110 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over	53c	34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.02	273	50.9%139 W · 134 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over	53c	34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.02	220	48.6%107 W · 113 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over	54c	34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.36	326	49.7%162 W · 164 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over	53c	34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.02	238	50.8%121 W · 117 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over	53c	34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.02	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over	53c	34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.02	318	52.2%166 W · 152 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under	50c	33.68$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.84	522	46.6%243 W · 279 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over	52c	32$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.64	271	50.2%136 W · 135 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7081…2d9cbacked Over	50c	31.14$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.61	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	252	50.8%128 W · 124 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	273	53.8%147 W · 126 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under	49c	28.79$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.68	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under	48c	27.86$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.49	397	56.7%225 W · 172 L	+21.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Under	46c	26.09$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.09	82	35.4%29 W · 53 L	-10.9wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under	49c	24.49$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.49	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 233.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event