NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb13535b73692ecacf7157e5c5ea6a6c65c23402e85f15b0d646034b195ed0f49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Grizzlies, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,214,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,367,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,214,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,647 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e22…e694backed Grizzlies | 0c | 443,064$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.52 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Grizzlies | 33c | 307,894$103,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,083.94 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 65c | 167,882$109,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,394.28 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Magic | 67c | 165,551$110,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,683.43 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Magic | 67c | 120,000$80,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,599.98 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 35c | 97,091$33,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,982.01 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 65c | 95,971$62,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,440.35 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Grizzlies | 34c | 93,453$31,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,773.94 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Magic | 66c | 50,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 47,863$16,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,532 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 34c | 46,400$15,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,697.46 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Grizzlies | 35c | 40,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.86 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Magic | 59c | 39,781$23,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,121.39 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Magic | 65c | 34,658$22,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,024.63 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 66c | 34,320$22,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,668.8 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Grizzlies | 34c | 32,000$10,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,979.87 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 31,285$10,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,324.01 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Magic | 65c | 30,415$19,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,595.27 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Grizzlies | 34c | 30,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.92 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Magic | 66c | 29,932$19,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,176.88 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Grizzlies | 34c | 27,747$9,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,433.95 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…e675backed Grizzlies | 40c | 27,592$10,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,995.59 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Magic | 47c | 27,541$13,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,466.1 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Magic | 66c | 24,500$16,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,330 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Grizzlies | 34c | 23,499$7,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,978.07 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies | 27c | 23,060$6,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,245.97 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Grizzlies | 33c | 21,890$7,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,223.7 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies | 40c | 21,693$8,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,571.02 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 21,373$7,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,480.49 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Grizzlies | 44c | 20,867$9,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,153.42 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 66c | 20,304$13,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,998.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Grizzlies | 35c | 19,438$6,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,859.42 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Magic | 66c | 17,735$11,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.28 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 17,691$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.45 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bc…0821backed Grizzlies | 36c | 16,361$5,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Grizzlies | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 45c | 13,482$6,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,017.71 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 13,312$4,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,644.28 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…88c9backed Magic | 40c | 13,286$5,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,971.67 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Magic | 53c | 12,986$6,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,133.63 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 58c | 12,551$7,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,258.33 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies | 35c | 12,298$4,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.96 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Grizzlies | 35c | 11,743$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.08 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Grizzlies | 35c | 11,628$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,069.77 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…d88ebacked Grizzlies | 38c | 11,606$4,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,368 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Grizzlies | 34c | 10,892$3,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.2 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Grizzlies | 33c | 10,649$3,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,514.12 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Magic | 79c | 10,201$8,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.22 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Grizzlies | 19c | 10,184$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.59 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 66c | 10,002$6,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.65 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Grizzlies | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…83e4backed Grizzlies | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Grizzlies | 56c | 9,000$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.99 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Magic | 47c | 8,630$4,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,564.54 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 55c | 8,430$4,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,773.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13a…f97fbacked Magic | 68c | 8,353$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Magic | 79c | 8,261$6,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.74 | 247 | 52.6%130 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Grizzlies | 34c | 7,500$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…5a2dbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 7,383$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.68 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Grizzlies | 34c | 7,320$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.8 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 7,200$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies | 35c | 7,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.99 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Magic | 66c | 6,670$4,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.73 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…04e1backed Magic | 63c | 6,570$4,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Magic | 70c | 6,465$4,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.33 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…b254backed Grizzlies | 4c | 6,353$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 6,153$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.67 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…cbdbbacked Magic | 43c | 6,118$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,491.37 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Grizzlies | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Magic | 67c | 5,970$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.15 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Grizzlies | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Magic | 41c | 5,624$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.38 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Magic | 65c | 5,562$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.7 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Magic | 64c | 5,483$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.56 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Magic | 41c | 5,078$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.58 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Magic | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Grizzlies | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies | 37c | 5,000$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.64 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…bfc3backed Grizzlies | 71c | 4,988$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 66c | 4,273$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.61 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Grizzlies | 26c | 4,173$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.26 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Magic | 48c | 4,155$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.42 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Magic | 65c | 4,001$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.01 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e10…6a89backed Magic | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…33c0backed Grizzlies | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Magic | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.99 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 3,971$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…9ba7backed Grizzlies | 1c | 3,884$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 44c | 3,854$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.63 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 35c | 3,751$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.75 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 37c | 3,639$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.59 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 3,636$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.95 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Grizzlies | 25c | 3,564$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.59 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Grizzlies | 40c | 3,558$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.12 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 3,534$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.73 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Grizzlies | 24c | 3,500$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.2 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 3,446$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.8 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Magic | 67c | 3,434$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies | 35c | 3,384$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.39 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.