NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdd28391d1a56e92fec62be914ac77b3167e9a745daded06b14b08dca23a42f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Under | 52c | 47,369$24,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,400 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 38,532$18,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,048.47 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 10,072$4,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,238.38 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Under | 52c | 10,000$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198.95 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 1c | 6,941$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Under | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +10.8wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…5010backed Over | 52c | 4,674$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 48c | 4,240$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.8 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…1144backed Over | 52c | 4,127$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 4,118$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.22 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 2,989$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…49eebacked Over | 52c | 2,755$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…4d2cbacked Over | 52c | 2,545$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 41c | 2,201$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 43c | 1,840$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.2 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 1,476$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 1,471$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.9 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cc…8b18backed Under | 48c | 1,217$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…107ebacked Under | 48c | 1,187$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0c…3403backed Under | 48c | 1,152$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…5abdbacked Under | 48c | 1,118$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59b…6218backed Under | 48c | 1,083$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…9bfbbacked Under | 48c | 1,056$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 1,054$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…fa9bbacked Under | 48c | 1,049$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2acc…74f6backed Under | 48c | 1,014$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…b0a3backed Under | 48c | 988$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…4ed1backed Under | 48c | 980$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…ab0dbacked Under | 48c | 918$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 49c | 857.14$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.14 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…8d45backed Under | 48c | 849$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 50c | 818.09$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.63 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…7192backed Under | 48c | 779$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf64d…83e3backed Under | 48c | 710$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 48c | 636$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.72 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4d…a31ebacked Under | 50c | 579.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc5…b639backed Over | 56c | 558.59$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.11 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 57c | 526$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.83 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 48c | 485$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.2 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Over | 53c | 312.83$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.39 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Under | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 234.6$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 48c | 233.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…d110backed Over | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 47c | 176.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Over | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 51c | 169.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 50c | 125.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 128 | 65.6%84 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…9ea3backed Over | 12c | 120$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +8.8wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Over | 52c | 117$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 49c | 113.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…e383backed Over | 69c | 111.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over | 52c | 104$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…4c9dbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 51c | 94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 52c | 89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 51c | 89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Over | 54c | 80.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked Over | 35c | 79.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Under | 52c | 76.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 48c | 76.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 45c | 53.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Over | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Under | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Under | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…a253backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657f…48b5backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d87…1b41backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Over | 50c | 29.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Under | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. MagicMagic won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.