NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10e7c7b5f986fc883a6314fb03b178225b010edb752beae7998f3c4765b574e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 27,289$13,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,560.31 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 18,679$9,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,039.71 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…a00abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 17,000$8,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,160 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Magic | 52c | 17,000$8,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,159.99 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…eddebacked Magic | 52c | 16,731$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,030.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 52c | 5,636$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Magic | 51c | 5,479$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.88 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 50c | 5,131$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542.17 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 4,519$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.25 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Grizzlies | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 3,100$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.98 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,879$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.9 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,650$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.84 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Magic | 50c | 2,242$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.91 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Magic | 51c | 2,187$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.63 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 50c | 2,035$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Magic | 51c | 2,029$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.24 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Magic | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Magic | 53c | 1,751$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.94 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,747$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.3 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f1…04e9backed Magic | 52c | 1,649$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.83 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Magic | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,312$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Magic | 52c | 1,295$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.59 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Magic | 52c | 1,019$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.12 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Magic | 52c | 1,004$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.85 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Magic | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Magic | 50c | 980$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Magic | 55c | 734.55$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.55 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Magic | 51c | 618$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.82 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Magic | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Magic | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Magic | 50c | 580.86$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.43 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Magic | 52c | 576.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.87 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Magic | 53c | 560.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.8 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Magic | 52c | 559.42$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.52 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Magic | 41c | 520$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.4 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Magic | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Magic | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Grizzlies | 46c | 337.82$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Magic | 51c | 320$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 52c | 273.61$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.45 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Magic | 52c | 242.9$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Magic | 50c | 238$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Magic | 52c | 237.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.05 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Magic | 52c | 222$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a32…6bbebacked Magic | 50c | 217$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd791…2eadbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 217$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…bf14backed Magic | 50c | 211$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52ba…7212backed Grizzlies | 51c | 211$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…70e2backed Magic | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…de9cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 202$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Magic | 52c | 200.02$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…bf3dbacked Magic | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 199.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…8288backed Grizzlies | 51c | 193$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…86a7backed Magic | 50c | 193$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…d081backed Magic | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…a5a9backed Magic | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…9db1backed Grizzlies | 51c | 188$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…a7d1backed Magic | 50c | 188$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Magic | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Magic | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…bc50backed Magic | 50c | 184$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ed…7971backed Grizzlies | 51c | 184$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…c245backed Magic | 50c | 182$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…1d43backed Grizzlies | 51c | 182$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa395…a298backed Magic | 50c | 182$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…369ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 182$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Magic | 53c | 175.47$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Magic | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Magic | 9c | 149.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.45 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Magic | 52c | 137$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Magic | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Magic | 52c | 113.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1261…59e2backed Magic | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Grizzlies | 48c | 111.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Magic | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786e…a308backed Magic | 54c | 106.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…a856backed Magic | 52c | 105.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Magic | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Magic | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Grizzlies | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Magic | 53c | 94.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Magic | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Magic | 53c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Magic | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Magic | 53c | 81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies | 60c | 78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Magic | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Magic | 53c | 66.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Magic | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Magic | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Grizzlies | 48c | 62.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Grizzlies | 46c | 61.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Magic | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. MagicMagic won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.