NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5141467f146bc93dfdcc5127b886a8f545951c8d667467231f9a85b3199f7002
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Under | 58c | 40,744$23,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,959.87 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 18,763$7,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,988.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 42c | 9,503$4,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032.82 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 51c | 8,216$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026.03 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over | 41c | 6,427$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 43c | 6,328$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.17 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acc…74f6backed Under | 56c | 4,508$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…4ed1backed Under | 56c | 3,992$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 41c | 3,500$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Under | 60c | 3,357$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 3,253$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…9bfbbacked Under | 56c | 3,210$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Over | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Under | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…b0a3backed Under | 56c | 2,490$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 1,847$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.85 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 44c | 1,582$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.75 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 1,367$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.98 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…107ebacked Over | 44c | 1,175$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf64d…83e3backed Over | 44c | 1,150$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01cc…8b18backed Over | 44c | 1,143$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0c…3403backed Over | 44c | 1,111$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…5abdbacked Over | 44c | 1,079$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…7192backed Over | 44c | 1,070$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 58c | 1,052$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.77 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59b…6218backed Over | 44c | 1,046$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…fa9bbacked Over | 44c | 1,014$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…8d45backed Over | 44c | 990$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…5010backed Over | 44c | 982$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…1144backed Over | 44c | 950$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…ab0dbacked Over | 44c | 910$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Over | 50c | 893.71$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.57 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…4d2cbacked Over | 44c | 830$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…49eebacked Over | 44c | 750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 44c | 505.64$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.48 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 500.66$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.34 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…d110backed Over | 42c | 500$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Over | 41c | 480$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 41c | 439.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Under | 51c | 391$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.59 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…e0adbacked Over | 45c | 347.11$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 318$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e3…edc7backed Over | 51c | 314.18$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…e383backed Over | 52c | 305.45$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 55c | 300.33$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.78 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 6c | 275.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 43c | 266.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…be21backed Over | 42c | 223.81$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2efb…ef8dbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…cd66backed Under | 58c | 203.97$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 56c | 177.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 175.2$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.39 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 39c | 172.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Under | 57c | 170.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 42c | 149.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 57c | 148$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Under | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Under | 43c | 138.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 59c | 126$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 41c | 102.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 51c | 101.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Over | 45c | 101.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3863…ae6abacked Under | 56c | 92.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Over | 47c | 91.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 57c | 77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Over | 43c | 63.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 60c | 58.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Under | 56c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 48c | 52.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2308…6bffbacked Over | 44c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 27c | 43.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 60c | 37.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 40c | 37.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Under | 57c | 37.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e1…5848backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…18b9backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…de89backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…6a83backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…709abacked Under | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13c…8410backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. MagicMagic won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.