NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cee8159785744a73e4d196ef9f3bef95b5a7735caa4b7ef3e867c8870093d90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,404,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,449,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,404,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Magic | 52c | 505,543$262,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242,742.72 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 500,000$240,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239,999.97 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 49c | 160,464$78,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,004.98 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Grizzlies | 51c | 100,000$50,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,500 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Grizzlies | 52c | 100,000$51,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,500 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Grizzlies | 51c | 94,879$48,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,580.78 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e22…e694backed Grizzlies | 0c | 80,601$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.83 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Grizzlies | 52c | 75,103$39,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,053.56 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Magic | 48c | 70,000$33,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,201.43 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Grizzlies | 51c | 66,407$34,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,117.49 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 65,555$34,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,088.58 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 48c | 57,671$27,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,951.76 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 49c | 41,541$20,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,214.29 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Magic | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies | 50c | 35,406$17,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,701.91 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 48c | 31,814$15,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,433.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 50c | 30,896$15,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,565.71 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Magic | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Magic | 49c | 27,288$13,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,917.13 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Magic | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Magic | 48c | 22,928$11,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,922.74 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 20,329$10,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,691.35 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Magic | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.99 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 17,639$9,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,126.95 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Grizzlies | 52c | 15,000$7,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,750 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Magic | 50c | 15,000$7,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,506.3 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Grizzlies | 51c | 9,730$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +10.8wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 33c | 7,885$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,310.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…43e8backed Grizzlies | 51c | 6,882$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Grizzlies | 51c | 6,628$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.37 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Grizzlies | 72c | 6,615$4,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,762.62 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…7495backed Grizzlies | 51c | 6,020$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…ba77backed Grizzlies | 50c | 5,900$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…eddebacked Magic | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Magic | 49c | 4,908$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.13 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 49c | 4,908$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.93 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…8a4dbacked Magic | 50c | 4,779$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…31d4backed Grizzlies | 52c | 4,729$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…6942backed Grizzlies | 52c | 4,575$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…7e24backed Grizzlies | 51c | 4,288$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Magic | 48c | 4,189$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.05 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Magic | 48c | 4,188$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.61 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Magic | 49c | 4,093$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.4 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Magic | 48c | 4,081$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.17 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Magic | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…ab0dbacked Magic | 47c | 3,379$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…7192backed Grizzlies | 53c | 3,284$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf64d…83e3backed Grizzlies | 53c | 3,277$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…4d2cbacked Magic | 47c | 3,252$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98f…bbc8backed Magic | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…a9ccbacked Magic | 50c | 2,700$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Magic | 48c | 2,646$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.75 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Magic | 49c | 2,600$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.96 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…49eebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 2,415$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Magic | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.99 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…9bfbbacked Magic | 47c | 2,370$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Magic | 48c | 2,320$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.4 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 43c | 2,260$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.76 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…b0a3backed Grizzlies | 53c | 2,135$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…8d45backed Magic | 47c | 2,110$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf14d…71a6backed Magic | 49c | 2,052$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ac…5759backed Magic | 49c | 2,014$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…065bbacked Magic | 49c | 1,988$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Magic | 49c | 1,908$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.08 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 1,868$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a74abacked Magic | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.73 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Magic | 48c | 1,790$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.58 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…0855backed Magic | 49c | 1,785$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Magic | 49c | 1,714$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.29 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d6…64c6backed Magic | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,496$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.16 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,446$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.13 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 32c | 1,441$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.67 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…d60ebacked Magic | 49c | 1,409$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe1…f8f0backed Magic | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Magic | 15c | 1,345$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.31 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,327$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.18 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Magic | 52c | 1,320$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.59 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9d…dc02backed Magic | 48c | 1,280$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…4925backed Magic | 49c | 1,258$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb5…1754backed Magic | 49c | 1,211$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…1eb2backed Magic | 48c | 1,169$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,155$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.5 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Grizzlies | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5f…4747backed Magic | 48c | 1,132$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…0319backed Magic | 48c | 1,055$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Grizzlies | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Magic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d26…0332backed Grizzlies | 52c | 999.98$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.71 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Grizzlies | 51c | 989.56$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.47 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. MagicMagic won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.