NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacf68b2efefc06af40816a0d9ca29c4974585e7d6c930aa74b3a3af030fd3172
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Under | 57c | 22,105$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,505.26 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 14,584$6,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,354.61 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea69…7f7cbacked Under | 53c | 4,301$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5f…4747backed Under | 53c | 4,299$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd90a…2241backed Under | 54c | 4,296$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…afa3backed Under | 54c | 4,285$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…f024backed Under | 54c | 4,274$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7688…1438backed Under | 54c | 4,097$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac74…f4dcbacked Under | 54c | 4,094$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…d745backed Under | 54c | 4,028$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 21c | 4,026$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.62 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 3,912$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.88 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 44c | 3,900$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 3,533$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…8d45backed Under | 54c | 3,086$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…ab0dbacked Under | 54c | 2,414$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db0…4f0dbacked Over | 46c | 1,948$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…54b0backed Over | 46c | 1,905$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…97f1backed Over | 46c | 1,892$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…b80dbacked Over | 46c | 1,892$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…e9aabacked Over | 46c | 1,873$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e50…8b05backed Over | 46c | 1,821$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 1,400$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.3 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 43c | 1,300$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa265…f0e3backed Over | 46c | 1,289$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa37b…d9f5backed Over | 46c | 1,277$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf854…8303backed Over | 47c | 1,258$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…1103backed Over | 46c | 1,245$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…6942backed Over | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1e…37ebbacked Over | 46c | 1,183$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…0319backed Over | 47c | 1,173$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Over | 3c | 1,170$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 85 | 11.8%10 W · 75 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…0097backed Over | 46c | 1,164$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 44c | 1,159$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…d9fbbacked Over | 46c | 1,158$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…0558backed Over | 46c | 1,123$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Over | 44c | 1,115$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.44 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9d…dc02backed Over | 47c | 1,114$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64d…83e3backed Over | 46c | 1,104$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Over | 6c | 1,100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Over | 4c | 1,100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…8d41backed Over | 46c | 1,098$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5752…b57cbacked Over | 46c | 1,092$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…6ce8backed Over | 46c | 1,047$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f7…8355backed Over | 46c | 1,043$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d6…64c6backed Over | 47c | 1,039$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…7192backed Over | 46c | 1,028$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc2…b6bbbacked Over | 46c | 1,019$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…31d4backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 55c | 998$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.98 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…9bfbbacked Over | 46c | 954$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe1…f8f0backed Over | 47c | 927$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…1eb2backed Over | 47c | 884$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…b0a3backed Over | 46c | 879$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…4c9dbacked Under | 58c | 864.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.88 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 856.36$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…4d2cbacked Over | 46c | 805$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…49eebacked Over | 46c | 730$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 41c | 665.21$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.03 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 44c | 636.36$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc5…b639backed Over | 70c | 633.68$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.45 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 603.88$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.7 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 42c | 531.48$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 52c | 481.35$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4d…a31ebacked Under | 57c | 438.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe833…1723backed Under | 76c | 429.29$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…f34fbacked Under | 57c | 406.32$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.72 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Under | 63c | 400$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…5a74backed Under | 54c | 351.85$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.85 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 63c | 310.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.76 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Over | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…d110backed Over | 67c | 294$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 44c | 293.55$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 30c | 239.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 28c | 231.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 47c | 208.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 43c | 199.88$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Under | 57c | 190.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 71c | 185.42$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.39 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…9ea3backed Under | 79c | 180$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +8.8wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Over | 69c | 164.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 58c | 141.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 56c | 124$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 38c | 121.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…5f54backed Under | 56c | 98.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 19c | 93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…2893backed Over | 47c | 87.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 62c | 85.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 46c | 84.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. MagicMagic won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.