TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf374…6a83

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Earnings, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST2564%16 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Suns vs. Heat: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 251.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
76ers vs. Magicbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.6%+$6.3
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.8
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Kings vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$7.75
All 25 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Devils vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Avalanche vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Rangers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Senators vs. Jetsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Ducks vs. Devilsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$28.6
Sabres vs. Canucksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Bruins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Red Wings vs. Canucksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25.4%+$8.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)backed Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.9
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marist Red Foxes vs. Quinnipiac Bobcatsbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+34.2%+$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.