Tennis · resolved market
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Etcheverry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bea681ca26e6b30b67afe886ad685bcaff38b5d5d1999f52e5b1c0b6eb9eb93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Musettiof Musetti, Etcheverry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Etcheverry | 45c | 16,902$7,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,564.9 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Etcheverry | 30c | 16,561$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,989.94 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Musetti | 66c | 11,864$7,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,085.07 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Musetti | 65c | 11,497$7,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.81 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Musetti | 50c | 10,976$5,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,502.53 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Etcheverry | 50c | 9,137$4,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,568.27 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Etcheverry | 43c | 5,948$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.11 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Etcheverry | 44c | 5,663$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.57 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Musetti | 55c | 5,047$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.57 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Etcheverry | 19c | 4,850$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.45 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Etcheverry | 40c | 4,839$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.28 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Musetti | 47c | 4,233$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.99 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Musetti | 75c | 3,872$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.49 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Etcheverry | 39c | 3,822$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.63 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Musetti | 75c | 3,555$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.75 | 156 | 65.4%102 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Etcheverry | 11c | 3,540$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.84 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Musetti | 72c | 3,276$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.84 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Musetti | 54c | 3,009$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.57 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Etcheverry | 43c | 2,876$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.24 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Musetti | 72c | 2,083$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.23 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Musetti | 50c | 2,038$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.64 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Etcheverry | 36c | 1,960$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.2 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Musetti | 60c | 1,724$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.57 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Musetti | 77c | 1,700$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Etcheverry | 35c | 1,672$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.53 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Musetti | 70c | 1,659$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.76 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Etcheverry | 25c | 1,628$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Etcheverry | 56c | 1,611$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.36 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Musetti | 69c | 1,506$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.9 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Musetti | 65c | 1,415$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.07 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Etcheverry | 27c | 1,370$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Musetti | 74c | 1,361$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.96 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Musetti | 74c | 1,360$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.9 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Musetti | 59c | 1,331$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.93 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…dbdabacked Musetti | 69c | 1,320$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Musetti | 73c | 1,264$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.69 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Etcheverry | 49c | 1,263$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.69 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Etcheverry | 48c | 1,240$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.98 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Etcheverry | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Musetti | 75c | 1,166$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.09 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Musetti | 47c | 1,154$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.42 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Etcheverry | 26c | 1,153$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Etcheverry | 50c | 1,027$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.6 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Etcheverry | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Musetti | 54c | 923.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.79 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Musetti | 64c | 904.49$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.06 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Musetti | 56c | 896.23$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.7 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Etcheverry | 52c | 865.71$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Etcheverry | 36c | 826.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…4480backed Musetti | 67c | 773.96$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…178abacked Musetti | 65c | 749.37$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Musetti | 75c | 650$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Etcheverry | 26c | 642.92$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Etcheverry | 6c | 633$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a8…9c7fbacked Etcheverry | 55c | 624.2$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…5e0bbacked Etcheverry | 54c | 619.97$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Etcheverry | 24c | 613.29$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…3edebacked Etcheverry | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Etcheverry | 40c | 564.56$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.45 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Etcheverry | 27c | 544.73$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Musetti | 65c | 535.03$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.26 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…efa1backed Musetti | 75c | 533.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Etcheverry | 24c | 521$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.04 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Etcheverry | 25c | 504.73$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.75 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Etcheverry | 21c | 501.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Musetti | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…27b3backed Musetti | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Musetti | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6889…aa36backed Etcheverry | 7c | 434.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Musetti | 76c | 420$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Etcheverry | 4c | 402.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7913…350dbacked Etcheverry | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Musetti | 56c | 393.69$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.69 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681c…ad15backed Etcheverry | 26c | 364.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164e…c2a2backed Etcheverry | 33c | 364.46$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Musetti | 74c | 352.52$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.76 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Musetti | 60c | 332.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.88 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…79e5backed Musetti | 47c | 290$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Etcheverry | 10c | 281.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -12.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Musetti | 72c | 277.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Musetti | 74c | 268.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Etcheverry | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…2560backed Musetti | 74c | 254.05$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Etcheverry | 26c | 251$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Musetti | 65c | 247.63$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Musetti | 65c | 245.34$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Musetti | 75c | 242.67$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…f788backed Musetti | 70c | 241.04$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Etcheverry | 20c | 240.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Musetti | 74c | 236.92$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Musetti | 52c | 231.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.17 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Etcheverry | 44c | 226.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Musetti | 77c | 224.45$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Etcheverry | 14c | 221.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc7…9335backed Etcheverry | 53c | 219.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Musetti | 65c | 210.77$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…39a7backed Musetti | 74c | 202.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Musetti | 57c | 202.41$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Etcheverry | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Musetti | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Etcheverrythis page
- Musetti vs. Etcheverry: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Musetti vs. Etcheverry: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Musetti vs EtcheverryEtcheverry won
- Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5)Etcheverry won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.