TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb13f…5e0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Mls at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,368Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,032
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$767
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$617.68
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$240.8
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,145
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+223.2%+$204.75
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.52
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+169.9%+$421.78
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$412.79
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,032Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$362.44
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+64%+$279.02
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs 777 - Map 1 Winnerbacked 777 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$99.27
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Estoril Open: Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$540
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baezbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$448.35
Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$20.88
Brisbane International: Marta Kostyuk vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49.6
ASB Classic: Sofia Costoulas vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$88.69
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$336.79
Brisbane International: Magdalena Frech vs Linda Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$134.85
Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs Bejlekbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+62.2%+$96.37
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Kings: 1H O/U 119.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$123.52
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$179.31
Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,345.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$370.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+81.6%+$121.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$85.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.