TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eternal Fireof 1WIN, Eternal Fire
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$284,037
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$309,859

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,037 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed 1WIN38c61,188$23,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,129.076160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Eternal Fire68c41,455$28,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,243.6125255.6%140 W · 112 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Eternal Fire37c29,794$11,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,713.951,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 1WIN66c14,915$9,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,800.615,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Eternal Fire25c11,400$2,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,533.972,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Eternal Fire53c6,088$3,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,873.7392456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed 1WIN44c4,576$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.8666551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 1WIN54c3,147$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.232,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Eternal Fire57c3,114$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.1210438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN44c2,865$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.626,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13f…5e0bbacked 1WIN75c2,860$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1451450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Eternal Fire50c2,809$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.39146.2%42 W · 49 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed 1WIN68c2,666$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.7218557.8%107 W · 78 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Eternal Fire45c2,598$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.6742154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Eternal Fire55c2,483$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.4474956.7%425 W · 324 L+47.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked 1WIN44c2,457$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0931,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed 1WIN61c2,228$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.8587330.9%270 W · 603 L-62.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x782f…b46abacked 1WIN76c2,120$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.44850%24 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Eternal Fire57c2,110$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.5814659.6%87 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1WIN69c2,074$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.62,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed 1WIN48c2,063$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.3743055.1%237 W · 193 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed 1WIN44c2,044$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.1984658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Eternal Fire59c2,043$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.312851.6%66 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Eternal Fire50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00043751.7%226 W · 211 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Eternal Fire26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.9811346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed 1WIN45c1,956$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.5119840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked 1WIN44c1,900$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.961,00752.4%528 W · 479 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Eternal Fire56c1,809$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.0721855.5%121 W · 97 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1WIN70c1,750$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.565,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked 1WIN53c1,724$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.5866446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa28a…01c5backed Eternal Fire56c1,690$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.664459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Eternal Fire42c1,573$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.2266436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Eternal Fire42c1,485$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.824939.8%99 W · 150 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 1WIN56c1,484$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.782,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Eternal Fire48c1,368$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.531,08354.2%587 W · 496 L+39.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd2…7260backed Eternal Fire37c1,357$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.771250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86bf…a172backed 1WIN33c1,270$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.243836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f5…5e63backed 1WIN2c1,249$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.945125.5%13 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire37c1,197$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.17,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Eternal Fire49c1,140$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.82,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed 1WIN50c1,077$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.685836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x186c…1d32backed 1WIN39c1,076$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.14714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked 1WIN27c1,041$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.243137.8%163 W · 268 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked 1WIN56c1,025$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.419335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Eternal Fire51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49020855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Eternal Fire49c999.86$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.922,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked 1WIN61c821.98$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.0844657.2%255 W · 191 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 1WIN45c792.16$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.963,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb835…2e51backed 1WIN44c785.52$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.638544.7%38 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2764…ec08backed Eternal Fire40c735.6$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.361637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f8c…9a58backed 1WIN49c715.72$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.075545.5%25 W · 30 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d32…ae18backed 1WIN77c694.65$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.122751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Eternal Fire40c687.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.7917240.1%69 W · 103 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d40…dd57backed 1WIN76c675.93$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51311840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked 1WIN44c612$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.149837.8%37 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Eternal Fire46c606.64$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.472,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae6d…795fbacked 1WIN66c593.64$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.38944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed 1WIN44c580.16$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.341,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Eternal Fire56c579$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.7613339.8%53 W · 80 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb141…aa3bbacked Eternal Fire29c576.08$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed 1WIN70c571.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008446.4%39 W · 45 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+40.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed 1WIN45c554$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.4828355.5%157 W · 126 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked 1WIN63c545.95$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.5845138.4%173 W · 278 L-29.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 1WIN59c533.22$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.774,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…a142backed 1WIN76c520$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.25244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked 1WIN51c509.3$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.2522241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed 1WIN66c501.07$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.222,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked 1WIN42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21094445.7%431 W · 513 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 1WIN45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2255,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked 1WIN44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed 1WIN43c499.97$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.994459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Eternal Fire75c467.72$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9221550.2%108 W · 107 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked Eternal Fire35c459.09$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.2412727.6%35 W · 92 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked 1WIN51c450.79$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.974633.4%249 W · 497 L-48.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed 1WIN46c437.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016245.7%74 W · 88 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Eternal Fire49c422.53$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.499349.5%46 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Eternal Fire52c399.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19022454.5%122 W · 102 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed 1WIN44c380.58$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6937848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Eternal Fire72c379.16$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9420253%107 W · 95 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked 1WIN60c351$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0931239.7%124 W · 188 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef57…827dbacked 1WIN70c350$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452548%12 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked 1WIN44c350$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425744.4%114 W · 143 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae73…d822backed 1WIN55c348.69$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked 1WIN61c341.04$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9243152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed 1WIN46c334.01$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.932,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 1WIN53c332.47$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.013,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Eternal Fire53c323.7$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8825848.8%126 W · 132 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked 1WIN59c315.47$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.449445.7%43 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b9…a687backed Eternal Fire32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.54047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Eternal Fire56c304.07$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.511,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x805d…0c26backed 1WIN45c302.48$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…0350backed 1WIN72c295.99$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.113265.6%21 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9454…9abcbacked 1WIN53c293.98$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2810254.9%56 W · 46 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e5e…fbc4backed Eternal Fire53c280$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked Eternal Fire63c274$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3821354.5%116 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked 1WIN61c271.99$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.181,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed 1WIN43c271.89$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9198248.3%474 W · 508 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked 1WIN45c269.81$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.532,08447%979 W · 1,105 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Eternal Fire56c267.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.857440.5%30 W · 44 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedcf…3335backed 1WIN45c266.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.