CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f368c31576775b51a6e67eb76a7e7ce4b5c52ec00be3690abd9821fdb38e45f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 5,068$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.51 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked 1WIN | 29c | 1,510$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.31 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked 1WIN | 29c | 1,359$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.17 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Eternal Fire | 72c | 1,250$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 48c | 1,212$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.04 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 1,211$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.27 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked 1WIN | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 999.99$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.1 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed 1WIN | 28c | 859$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.48 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Eternal Fire | 53c | 841.92$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 1WIN | 62c | 685.25$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.34 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Eternal Fire | 52c | 661.54$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.98 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1WIN | 45c | 599.86$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.17 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed 1WIN | 62c | 529.29$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.75 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 1WIN | 50c | 448.05$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.05 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 441.67$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.67 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 1WIN | 41c | 393$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.94 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 1WIN | 41c | 314.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1WIN | 45c | 213.88$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.58 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked 1WIN | 49c | 202$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 173.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1WIN | 53c | 162.49$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 150$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 143.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 121.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed 1WIN | 30c | 117.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Eternal Fire | 52c | 116.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked 1WIN | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Eternal Fire | 51c | 104$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Eternal Fire | 44c | 101.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked 1WIN | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Eternal Fire | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Eternal Fire | 52c | 99.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…11a2backed 1WIN | 52c | 79.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Eternal Fire | 64c | 79.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 1WIN | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Eternal Fire | 52c | 66.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed 1WIN | 28c | 60.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c2…b18dbacked 1WIN | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked 1WIN | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 1WIN | 40c | 54.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Eternal Fire | 40c | 53.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Eternal Fire | 53c | 48.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1WIN | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Eternal Fire | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Eternal Fire | 47c | 34.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 32.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed 1WIN | 40c | 32.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed 1WIN | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed 1WIN | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Eternal Fire | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Eternal Fire | 73c | 13.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - European Pro League Series 8 PlayoffsEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 4 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.