CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ba9b11bf21a63ea7ab06d9deea2ff8d6d3d3614d1aa196d2b8e613bc948a14e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof 1WIN, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 39c | 1,506$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.42 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 1,255$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.98 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked 1WIN | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked 1WIN | 34c | 1,000$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.66 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire | 66c | 995.06$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.63 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked 1WIN | 55c | 982.52$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.46 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 865.11$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.12 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed 1WIN | 34c | 765$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.1 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked 1WIN | 56c | 718.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…5ca8backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 546.9$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 494.62$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.51 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 450$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.5 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 1WIN | 40c | 438.9$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 1WIN | 48c | 419$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked 1WIN | 42c | 399.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed 1WIN | 17c | 365$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…6be5backed 1WIN | 37c | 290$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed 1WIN | 55c | 255.7$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1WIN | 47c | 243.71$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.83 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Eternal Fire | 66c | 240.07$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 232.34$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 222.63$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcf…3335backed 1WIN | 49c | 202.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked Eternal Fire | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed 1WIN | 20c | 187.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eternal Fire | 43c | 187$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.74 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Eternal Fire | 58c | 179.4$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c0…7003backed 1WIN | 56c | 177.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…dbe1backed 1WIN | 37c | 173.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed 1WIN | 32c | 156.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 143.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.12 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed 1WIN | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 126$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1WIN | 45c | 121.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed 1WIN | 32c | 118.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…6573backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 110.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 1WIN | 39c | 110.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed 1WIN | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Eternal Fire | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed 1WIN | 35c | 94.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed 1WIN | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 83.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eternal Fire | 44c | 82.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Eternal Fire | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Eternal Fire | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed 1WIN | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Eternal Fire | 52c | 71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…b949backed 1WIN | 30c | 70.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Eternal Fire | 54c | 67.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Eternal Fire | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…ceb9backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 55.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Eternal Fire | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked 1WIN | 33c | 54.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 51.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa5…a94abacked Eternal Fire | 62c | 48.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked 1WIN | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed 1WIN | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked 1WIN | 37c | 35.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 31.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 30.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1WIN | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eternal Fire | 43c | 29.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked 1WIN | 37c | 28.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 1WIN | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed 1WIN | 43c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - European Pro League Series 8 PlayoffsEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 3 Winner1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.