CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e450b255de6f48f19c1259ee4677b2b41af1f61c98e09d9067c1341520201fb

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Eternal Fireof 1WIN, Eternal Fire
Resolved: Jul 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $41,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $46,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,033 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84ad…bfb7backed 1WIN	42c	3,173$1,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,347.82	1,083	54.2%587 W · 496 L	+39.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed 1WIN	46c	2,552$1,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,173.83	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Eternal Fire	54c	2,500$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150	437	51.7%226 W · 211 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN	34c	1,634$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.4	6,466	42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L	-78.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire	58c	1,407$816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591.09	5,474	46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L	+38.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Eternal Fire	54c	1,324$713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.01	2,429	44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L	-63.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Eternal Fire	60c	1,168$697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471.57	1,396	38.9%543 W · 853 L	-41.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1WIN	40c	1,158$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.76	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed 1WIN	42c	1,129$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.68	1,008	69.3%699 W · 309 L	+152.8wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Eternal Fire	59c	1,005$593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.17	226	29.2%66 W · 160 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed 1WIN	18c	1,002$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.36	152	44.7%68 W · 84 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked 1WIN	41c	757.15$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.43	97	32%31 W · 66 L	-11.7wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-36%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked 1WIN	40c	547.34$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.25	1,476	51.8%765 W · 711 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76b9…a687backed 1WIN	17c	515.67$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.78	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Eternal Fire	59c	505.21$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.64	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Eternal Fire	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	206	43.2%89 W · 117 L	-13.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb141…aa3bbacked 1WIN	41c	500$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.5	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Eternal Fire	59c	425$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.52	1,062	42.2%448 W · 614 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked 1WIN	15c	410.48$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.57	431	52.9%228 W · 203 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb13f…5e0bbacked 1WIN	42c	355.99$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.52	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…b6d7backed 1WIN	41c	350$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.5	79	54.4%43 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked 1WIN	46c	300$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	249	39.8%99 W · 150 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Eternal Fire	52c	288.46$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.46	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Eternal Fire	59c	273.15$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.15	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 1WIN	43c	266.99$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.48	4,040	50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L	+71.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked 1WIN	42c	247.74$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.05	140	44.3%62 W · 78 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked 1WIN	19c	228.31$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.59	1,830	41.6%762 W · 1,068 L	-68.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked 1WIN	46c	201.19$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.55	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Eternal Fire	64c	200.03$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.75	421	54.6%230 W · 191 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0bd…3338backed Eternal Fire	58c	200$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Eternal Fire	62c	200$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.55	1,676	51.1%857 W · 819 L	+21.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked 1WIN	12c	196.1$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	4,661	43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L	-85.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Eternal Fire	60c	187.98$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.39	4,897	37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L	-245.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Eternal Fire	59c	153.67$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	2,608	30.9%807 W · 1,801 L	-103.7wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Eternal Fire	59c	143.77$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.95	2,309	45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L	-62.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09c7…0053backed 1WIN	18c	139.6$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Eternal Fire	66c	138$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.38	402	66.2%266 W · 136 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked 1WIN	41c	108.6$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.53	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5c…98f9backed Eternal Fire	58c	98.76$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.48	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Eternal Fire	65c	95.31$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.63	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed 1WIN	46c	90.21$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.1	717	39.6%284 W · 433 L	-25.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Eternal Fire	57c	87.81$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.81	363	49.6%180 W · 183 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Eternal Fire	58c	84.16$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.45	3,165	45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L	-74.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x054e…51bdbacked 1WIN	28c	80$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	16	50%8 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0197…1718backed Eternal Fire	59c	73.36$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.97	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-4.5wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed 1WIN	19c	71$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.41	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x21dd…e4f5backed Eternal Fire	59c	60$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.6	180	59.4%107 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd181…6a2bbacked 1WIN	17c	59.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Eternal Fire	61c	56.84$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.37	2,599	47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L	-30.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160a…43d3backed Eternal Fire	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+4.8wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked 1WIN	41c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	411	50.1%206 W · 205 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Eternal Fire	54c	49.25$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.65	111	55%61 W · 50 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 1WIN	23c	48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	5,262	31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L	-381.6wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Eternal Fire	64c	47.82$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.14	2,119	42.9%909 W · 1,210 L	-66.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb4f…6e10backed Eternal Fire	63c	42.98$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.98	188	71.8%135 W · 53 L	+15.7wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+12%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Eternal Fire	66c	41$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.92	2,330	42.5%991 W · 1,339 L	-71.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Eternal Fire	54c	40.38$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.57	620	48.2%299 W · 321 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Eternal Fire	59c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.4	807	41.3%333 W · 474 L	-10.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Eternal Fire	59c	33.37$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.55	2,084	47%979 W · 1,105 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked 1WIN	45c	32$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	1,034	54.9%568 W · 466 L	-2.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Eternal Fire	75c	28.52$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.13	2,770	37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L	-139.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed Eternal Fire	59c	27.12$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.12	137	59.9%82 W · 55 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed 1WIN	41c	26.34$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.79	115	40.9%47 W · 68 L	-13.1wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Eternal Fire	58c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.57	2,491	41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L	-114.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - European Pro League Series 8 PlayoffsEternal Fire won
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 3 Winner1WIN won
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 4 WinnerEternal Fire won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event