Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Sofia Costoulas vs Kaitlin Quevedo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x690f13d2d1739937a64748e7a3f43a983f0a97605e1cc061cf04db2ec40c217a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Costoulasof Costoulas, Quevedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Costoulas | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Quevedo | 53c | 3,976$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.09 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Costoulas | 47c | 3,390$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.77 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Quevedo | 18c | 2,502$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.58 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Quevedo | 22c | 2,109$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.07 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…3edebacked Quevedo | 56c | 1,739$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Costoulas | 77c | 1,360$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.87 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Costoulas | 48c | 1,193$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.04 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Quevedo | 52c | 859.67$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Quevedo | 10c | 834.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Costoulas | 54c | 773.95$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.34 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Quevedo | 44c | 772.73$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Costoulas | 45c | 714.06$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.05 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Costoulas | 49c | 548.87$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.09 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Quevedo | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…03f1backed Quevedo | 30c | 399.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 99 | 16.2%16 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Costoulas | 44c | 398$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.88 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Quevedo | 51c | 355$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.05 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Costoulas | 50c | 311$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Quevedo | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…5e0bbacked Quevedo | 42c | 213.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Quevedo | 9c | 206.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Quevedo | 51c | 203.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Quevedo | 50c | 201.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Costoulas | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…85b5backed Costoulas | 78c | 158.55$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Quevedo | 14c | 106.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Costoulas | 50c | 85.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Costoulas | 54c | 71.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Quevedo | 46c | 66.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Quevedo | 53c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Costoulas | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Quevedo | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Costoulas | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Quevedo | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Quevedo | 57c | 46.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Costoulas | 48c | 39.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Costoulas | 57c | 36.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…526dbacked Costoulas | 79c | 34.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Quevedo | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Costoulas | 48c | 29.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Costoulas | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…70a1backed Costoulas | 55c | 25.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Quevedo | 46c | 24.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Costoulas | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…3a00backed Quevedo | 60c | 22.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Quevedo | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…2c83backed Quevedo | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0d…5087backed Costoulas | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Sofia Costoulas vs Kaitlin Quevedothis page
- Costoulas vs. Quevedo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Quevedo (-1.5) vs Costoulas (+1.5)Costoulas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.