CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs 777 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c84f69f489707266f6c18c0084bdc42956c9009cc0f8dfe79c51a9e175b19f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BASEMENT BOYSof BASEMENT BOYS, 777
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked 777 | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…9f40backed 777 | 49c | 7,178$3,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,541.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BASEMENT BOYS | 47c | 6,722$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.66 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 49c | 921.81$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.64 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed 777 | 54c | 682.21$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.19 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked 777 | 26c | 535$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed BASEMENT BOYS | 56c | 419.61$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.85 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked 777 | 35c | 402.57$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.95 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed 777 | 55c | 328$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.45 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…5e0bbacked 777 | 44c | 223.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed 777 | 62c | 207.61$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed 777 | 27c | 200.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed BASEMENT BOYS | 53c | 187.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed 777 | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 48c | 142$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed BASEMENT BOYS | 44c | 85.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed BASEMENT BOYS | 56c | 68.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed 777 | 46c | 60.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked 777 | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2910…4ca9backed BASEMENT BOYS | 70c | 56.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c5cdbacked 777 | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed BASEMENT BOYS | 49c | 43.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked 777 | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked BASEMENT BOYS | 51c | 30.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed BASEMENT BOYS | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ed…50efbacked 777 | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d82…ed61backed 777 | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…6bbebacked 777 | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed 777 | 48c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked 777 | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc215…9a89backed BASEMENT BOYS | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 54c | 19.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…ac2fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 62c | 17.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs 777 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs 777 (BO3)BASEMENT BOYS won
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs 777 - Map 2 Winner777 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.