Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02a2f7270a002000982942eb09df1723b5c48beeff6f1de40c9a6fd78feb53e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VARRELof T1, VARREL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c90…5b3ebacked VARREL | 31c | 3,518$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.45 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed VARREL | 44c | 3,496$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.27 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed VARREL | 43c | 2,304$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.99 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed VARREL | 32c | 2,285$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.98 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed VARREL | 26c | 1,060$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.9 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260f…6980backed T1 | 72c | 974.64$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…122fbacked VARREL | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +58%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked T1 | 39c | 897.81$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.26 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed T1 | 60c | 861.19$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.11 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked T1 | 31c | 849.66$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.64 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed T1 | 73c | 750$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.14 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed T1 | 30c | 680.83$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.7 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed T1 | 52c | 651.38$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.71 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed T1 | 76c | 634.49$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.6 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…dd5dbacked VARREL | 30c | 584.29$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.97 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…202abacked T1 | 80c | 563.35$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.22 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…fd61backed T1 | 73c | 543.98$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked T1 | 73c | 528.86$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.28 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked T1 | 74c | 513.52$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed T1 | 75c | 501$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.75 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed T1 | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed T1 | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked VARREL | 46c | 496.29$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.48 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…ad06backed VARREL | 35c | 488.55$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.23 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed VARREL | 27c | 436.93$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.96 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed T1 | 79c | 429.39$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.92 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8e1dbacked VARREL | 26c | 410.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked T1 | 47c | 403.7$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.53 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed T1 | 48c | 380$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.8 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked VARREL | 32c | 375.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.95 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed VARREL | 26c | 370.88$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.45 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed VARREL | 28c | 337.39$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.92 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked VARREL | 37c | 333.91$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.58 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed T1 | 61c | 320.36$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.68 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed VARREL | 29c | 258.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.41 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e5…8850backed T1 | 47c | 257.29$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked VARREL | 80c | 247.39$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked T1 | 72c | 232.39$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.32 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked VARREL | 33c | 228.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed T1 | 32c | 228$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked VARREL | 35c | 227.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.36 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked T1 | 41c | 222.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed T1 | 73c | 222.56$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked VARREL | 51c | 217.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked VARREL | 47c | 208.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed T1 | 9c | 205.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked T1 | 42c | 205.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed VARREL | 47c | 177.24$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…0652backed VARREL | 59c | 168.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed T1 | 44c | 166.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked T1 | 73c | 164$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed T1 | 73c | 160$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe454…8b7dbacked T1 | 75c | 152.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked T1 | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed T1 | 73c | 138.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed VARREL | 23c | 128.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed T1 | 15c | 116.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed VARREL | 39c | 113.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…df54backed VARREL | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…0ea2backed VARREL | 32c | 108.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked VARREL | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed T1 | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked T1 | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked T1 | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…e603backed T1 | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed T1 | 68c | 97.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked T1 | 44c | 96.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed T1 | 47c | 91.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x59d3…c92fbacked T1 | 72c | 89.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdd…4648backed VARREL | 28c | 85.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +66%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…5b5fbacked T1 | 72c | 81.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed T1 | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed T1 | 40c | 75.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed VARREL | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed VARREL | 27c | 74.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…2b6dbacked VARREL | 28c | 71.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed T1 | 63c | 70.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked T1 | 66c | 68.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x779c…699ebacked T1 | 69c | 68.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed T1 | 76c | 66.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked VARREL | 27c | 65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…5b4bbacked VARREL | 26c | 63.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked VARREL | 48c | 62.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked VARREL | 69c | 59.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…9b4dbacked T1 | 73c | 57.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…f703backed VARREL | 27c | 55.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked VARREL | 36c | 55.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked T1 | 27c | 49.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked VARREL | 26c | 47.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0911…b92dbacked T1 | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5525…7d01backed T1 | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed VARREL | 30c | 39.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed VARREL | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked T1 | 52c | 32.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…5e0bbacked T1 | 64c | 31.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed T1 | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked VARREL | 37c | 29.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…d744backed T1 | 43c | 28.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed T1 | 66c | 28.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked T1 | 75c | 19.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-3.5) vs VARREL (+3.5)VARREL won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-4.5) vs VARREL (+4.5)VARREL won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)VARREL won
- Valorant: T1 vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaVARREL won
- Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 1 WinnerVARREL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.