TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x779c…699e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Valorant at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6250%31 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+414.6%+$483.4
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,160.5%+$552.4
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$283.79
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.09
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.72
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.5
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.28
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will the announcers say "Cleat" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$111
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$44.5
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$111.2
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.8
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.2
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.29
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$34.2
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.16
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.39
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$126.62
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$87.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$16.95
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.1
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+525%+$100.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$48
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Valorant — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$20.6
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.17
Valorant: T1 vs VARREL - Map 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.8
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.6
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.8
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.42
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.6
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.78
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.53
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.01
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.5
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$120
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$123.07
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.68
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$55.2
All 22 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-63.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.69
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.47
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+26%+$52.44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.06
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+243.2%+$26.44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$201.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.