Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x304cbefcc4237e62af96ea430b3865528e7ec49b39fb77aa9d339b33d10902ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XLG Gamingof XLG Gaming, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Wolves Esports | 3c | 23,071$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked XLG Gaming | 72c | 18,054$12,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,065.26 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Wolves Esports | 30c | 18,020$5,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,435.59 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Wolves Esports | 29c | 12,128$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491.97 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…122fbacked Wolves Esports | 33c | 5,869$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +58%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…ffeebacked XLG Gaming | 68c | 4,563$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…efd0backed XLG Gaming | 71c | 4,372$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.64 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed XLG Gaming | 71c | 4,366$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.2 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked XLG Gaming | 54c | 4,057$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.76 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed XLG Gaming | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.41 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…586bbacked Wolves Esports | 29c | 3,788$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.51 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Wolves Esports | 27c | 3,734$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.71 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Wolves Esports | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.98 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Wolves Esports | 21c | 3,450$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.36 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed XLG Gaming | 60c | 2,555$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Wolves Esports | 25c | 2,499$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.89 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Wolves Esports | 29c | 2,410$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.57 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed XLG Gaming | 71c | 2,300$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Wolves Esports | 34c | 2,043$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.06 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 1,976$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Wolves Esports | 16c | 1,960$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.81 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…11fbbacked XLG Gaming | 67c | 1,891$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed XLG Gaming | 79c | 1,871$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.1 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…1e6fbacked Wolves Esports | 42c | 1,711$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.25 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Wolves Esports | 38c | 1,619$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.3 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…5b3ebacked XLG Gaming | 76c | 1,597$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.91 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed XLG Gaming | 66c | 1,552$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.3 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked XLG Gaming | 69c | 1,262$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.28 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked XLG Gaming | 62c | 1,261$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked XLG Gaming | 70c | 1,237$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.03 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Wolves Esports | 31c | 1,226$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.56 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Wolves Esports | 31c | 1,210$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Wolves Esports | 30c | 1,200$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…2e06backed Wolves Esports | 11c | 1,134$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed XLG Gaming | 71c | 1,127$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Wolves Esports | 15c | 1,042$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.11 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed XLG Gaming | 69c | 1,033$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.27 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Wolves Esports | 30c | 916.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.1 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Wolves Esports | 38c | 910.93$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 887.99$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.84 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed XLG Gaming | 78c | 868.5$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.07 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed XLG Gaming | 71c | 850$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed XLG Gaming | 68c | 818.72$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.89 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed XLG Gaming | 64c | 788.96$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.71 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Wolves Esports | 32c | 749.98$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.49 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked XLG Gaming | 74c | 740.08$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.98 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34f…1cfabacked XLG Gaming | 69c | 725.94$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde59…f49bbacked Wolves Esports | 40c | 719.25$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Wolves Esports | 33c | 714.05$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.58 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked XLG Gaming | 72c | 713$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.64 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed XLG Gaming | 70c | 712.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.87 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed XLG Gaming | 74c | 710.99$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.08 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked XLG Gaming | 71c | 710$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.9 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Wolves Esports | 31c | 709.19$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.38 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked XLG Gaming | 72c | 695.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.14 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…8fffbacked XLG Gaming | 72c | 678.2$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.9 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…e320backed Wolves Esports | 44c | 677.91$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.28 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…ca45backed Wolves Esports | 14c | 675.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Wolves Esports | 33c | 649.65$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.01 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Wolves Esports | 15c | 637$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed XLG Gaming | 66c | 598.76$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.72 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed XLG Gaming | 60c | 582.8$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.73 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked XLG Gaming | 77c | 578.14$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.7 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Wolves Esports | 27c | 571.71$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.77 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Wolves Esports | 32c | 568.06$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.68 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed XLG Gaming | 72c | 552.78$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.78 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked XLG Gaming | 70c | 552.02$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.02 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed XLG Gaming | 73c | 548.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…64b6backed Wolves Esports | 24c | 546.81$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed XLG Gaming | 61c | 537.99$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked XLG Gaming | 60c | 513$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Wolves Esports | 18c | 503.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Wolves Esports | 31c | 500.1$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked XLG Gaming | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Wolves Esports | 29c | 499.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Wolves Esports | 28c | 489.15$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -15.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked XLG Gaming | 65c | 471$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Wolves Esports | 29c | 469.38$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.64 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed XLG Gaming | 63c | 468.03$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.94 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069a…7c82backed Wolves Esports | 44c | 459.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…fd61backed XLG Gaming | 78c | 448$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…6c15backed XLG Gaming | 71c | 431.79$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked XLG Gaming | 65c | 407.11$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.47 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cc…3bf0backed XLG Gaming | 72c | 402.78$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Wolves Esports | 31c | 400.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29d…add3backed Wolves Esports | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed XLG Gaming | 69c | 383.98$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.79 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Wolves Esports | 29c | 376.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked XLG Gaming | 67c | 372.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed XLG Gaming | 67c | 369.8$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Wolves Esports | 28c | 367.64$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Wolves Esports | 27c | 365.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed XLG Gaming | 71c | 354.46$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260f…6980backed Wolves Esports | 13c | 350$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Wolves Esports | 39c | 350$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed XLG Gaming | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Wolves Esports | 30c | 333.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed Wolves Esports | 26c | 331.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed XLG Gaming | 70c | 329.37$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed Wolves Esports | 46c | 324.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)Wolves Esports won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 WinnerXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 WinnerWolves Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.