TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
XLG Gamingof XLG Gaming, Wolves Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,939

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeac2…dddcbacked Wolves Esports37c3,835$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.0612652.4%66 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed XLG Gaming57c1,969$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.171,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Wolves Esports39c1,250$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.322449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Wolves Esports34c1,111$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.7333942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d2…4850backed Wolves Esports35c1,016$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35713951.1%71 W · 68 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked Wolves Esports73c788$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.912123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked XLG Gaming57c657.55$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.781,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Wolves Esports31c631.45$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2623836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed XLG Gaming66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.063262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed Wolves Esports56c540.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007456.8%42 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked XLG Gaming62c540$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.554736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked XLG Gaming49c530$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.291,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Wolves Esports27c527.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6636138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked XLG Gaming66c505.47$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.551060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wolves Esports37c503.73$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2888844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed XLG Gaming46c500$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2713342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8840…f51abacked Wolves Esports2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10258%2 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed XLG Gaming63c479.45$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.8993049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked XLG Gaming68c438.16$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1612856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed XLG Gaming57c429.11$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.648852.3%46 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed XLG Gaming64c419.65$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9863955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked XLG Gaming35c350.5$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Wolves Esports31c337.83$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7384838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed Wolves Esports67c336.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.7610566.7%70 W · 35 L+10.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13c8…a814backed XLG Gaming61c328.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.252536%9 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed XLG Gaming66c304.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.944271.4%30 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Wolves Esports53c294.79$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2574642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Wolves Esports42c292.52$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3950944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed XLG Gaming69c280.97$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3319648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked XLG Gaming57c272.41$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.991,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f1…e320backed XLG Gaming66c258.7$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.961866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked XLG Gaming29c258.49$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7331227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked XLG Gaming61c235.02$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.852050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac6…122fbacked Wolves Esports39c228.04$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+58%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked XLG Gaming56c226.68$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0555348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed XLG Gaming68c205.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.445455.6%30 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Wolves Esports35c195.11$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2918641.4%77 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc290…2e06backed Wolves Esports18c193.18$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.535414.8%8 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed XLG Gaming28c191$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2266438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Wolves Esports46c188.34$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5340944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Wolves Esports33c184.88$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6544342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked XLG Gaming65c184.23$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.322231.8%7 W · 15 L-5.4wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-41.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x25a4…69f6backed XLG Gaming66c176.25$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.936251.6%32 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed XLG Gaming60c157.8$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3479650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked XLG Gaming64c156.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8917642.6%75 W · 101 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked XLG Gaming54c150.6$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8290733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked XLG Gaming25c128.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.975238.5%20 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc789…10fdbacked XLG Gaming53c124.01$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.081241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x260f…6980backed Wolves Esports26c115.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305532.7%18 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed8…2c70backed XLG Gaming66c108.92$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3313261.4%81 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed XLG Gaming52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4814737.4%55 W · 92 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Wolves Esports35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec7…4a76backed XLG Gaming70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3014959.7%89 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce3f…3543backed Wolves Esports36c98.82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.582142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a41…20bdbacked Wolves Esports52c96.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012250%61 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x928d…ca45backed XLG Gaming39c94.82$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.525226.9%14 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…25f8backed XLG Gaming64c91.56$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.56955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba46…6ac5backed XLG Gaming38c85.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.34768.1%32 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Wolves Esports37c80.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed XLG Gaming66c76.81$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.211,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed Wolves Esports50c73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.373250%16 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked XLG Gaming65c72.81$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2211149.5%55 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked XLG Gaming63c71.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.578968.5%61 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Wolves Esports46c68.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked XLG Gaming54c61.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5125336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed XLG Gaming52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.927847.1%131 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd396…442cbacked XLG Gaming65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.231353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked XLG Gaming67c58.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2812862.5%80 W · 48 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked XLG Gaming67c55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1577744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Wolves Esports34c54.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6796245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed Wolves Esports34c53.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812335.8%44 W · 79 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Wolves Esports22c52.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4355637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed XLG Gaming43c51.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1221641.7%90 W · 126 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f5b…315ebacked Wolves Esports51c50.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Wolves Esports29c48.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7681134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked XLG Gaming64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8820347.3%96 W · 107 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdc…333dbacked XLG Gaming67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.651428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed XLG Gaming59c42.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4165347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked XLG Gaming70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8627360.1%164 W · 109 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Wolves Esports35c42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6214852.7%78 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…0968backed XLG Gaming53c40.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.266033.3%20 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed XLG Gaming50c40.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2620547.8%98 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked XLG Gaming66c35.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.970043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Wolves Esports59c33.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e33…45f6backed XLG Gaming63c32.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.95554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed Wolves Esports41c32.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.219540%38 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc21d…50c1backed XLG Gaming60c32.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.986470.3%45 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x442f…e80fbacked Wolves Esports37c31.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.421323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-50.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked XLG Gaming66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.215160.3%91 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0786…df1dbacked XLG Gaming55c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab65…1f0dbacked XLG Gaming55c27.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.273850%19 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked XLG Gaming57c25.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.863828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked XLG Gaming53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.734954.7%191 W · 158 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e9…b2e0backed XLG Gaming77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.62479.2%19 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x868d…78c9backed XLG Gaming55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5da4…513dbacked XLG Gaming70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-54.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed XLG Gaming66c19.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.78744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa5…a94abacked XLG Gaming75c19.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.91070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2de9…3f78backed XLG Gaming71c15.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.393066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.