Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf099a1a7e8d504eb592b3d81ac0eab81e755364c9d0aa052146304e4db2113df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolves Esportsof XLG Gaming, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Wolves Esports | 70c | 3,551$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.38 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…122fbacked Wolves Esports | 52c | 1,870$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +58%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed XLG Gaming | 43c | 1,266$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.8 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed XLG Gaming | 54c | 894.82$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.01 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…ca45backed XLG Gaming | 17c | 599.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed XLG Gaming | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Wolves Esports | 37c | 437.38$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.55 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed XLG Gaming | 25c | 420.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…e320backed XLG Gaming | 63c | 398.38$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.98 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…0968backed XLG Gaming | 7c | 381.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Wolves Esports | 65c | 360.39$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked XLG Gaming | 47c | 318.84$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed XLG Gaming | 6c | 261$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…95a0backed Wolves Esports | 37c | 260.61$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Wolves Esports | 37c | 245.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.67 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked XLG Gaming | 23c | 237.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Wolves Esports | 43c | 234.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.91 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed XLG Gaming | 36c | 213$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Wolves Esports | 37c | 194.78$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Wolves Esports | 58c | 165.35$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Wolves Esports | 53c | 164.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked XLG Gaming | 25c | 158.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Wolves Esports | 36c | 157.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.84 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…10fdbacked XLG Gaming | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed XLG Gaming | 37c | 149.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked XLG Gaming | 47c | 131.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked XLG Gaming | 26c | 130$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked XLG Gaming | 34c | 127.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked XLG Gaming | 44c | 123.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked XLG Gaming | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked XLG Gaming | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 93 | 14%13 W · 80 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Wolves Esports | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed XLG Gaming | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Wolves Esports | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Wolves Esports | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed XLG Gaming | 27c | 94.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed XLG Gaming | 48c | 92.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked XLG Gaming | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…12f1backed Wolves Esports | 37c | 83.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed XLG Gaming | 37c | 78.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked XLG Gaming | 24c | 73.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked XLG Gaming | 31c | 64.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked XLG Gaming | 49c | 63.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Wolves Esports | 38c | 57.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked XLG Gaming | 44c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Wolves Esports | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 48.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed XLG Gaming | 42c | 47.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked XLG Gaming | 36c | 45.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x4d50…251abacked XLG Gaming | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…0f34backed XLG Gaming | 64c | 32.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed XLG Gaming | 64c | 31.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Wolves Esports | 36c | 31.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked XLG Gaming | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa5…a94abacked Wolves Esports | 48c | 30.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed XLG Gaming | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked XLG Gaming | 38c | 26.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…fdd7backed XLG Gaming | 44c | 25.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…442cbacked XLG Gaming | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366e…cb0cbacked Wolves Esports | 41c | 24.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed XLG Gaming | 62c | 17.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked XLG Gaming | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)Wolves Esports won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.