Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x668373148ae84fcdb7c43f6559e7a02c8a3f36bfcbebddb9d85f61166b342714
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,166,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,284,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,166,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 12c | 129,396$16,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,050.38 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 47c | 53,774$25,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,342.42 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…ac0bbacked Yes | 1c | 39,869$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…c4f4backed Yes | 59c | 37,080$21,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,826.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 17c | 14,931$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.93 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c66…44f3backed No | 62c | 14,661$9,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,624.39 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 21c | 14,364$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.89 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed No | 59c | 13,560$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,559.6 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 4c | 13,401$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.65 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 6c | 13,381$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.18 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…f56fbacked Yes | 5c | 12,031$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 43c | 11,158$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820.17 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Yes | 49c | 10,957$5,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,371.8 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked Yes | 62c | 6,555$4,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,038.28 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 72c | 6,515$4,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.18 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Yes | 47c | 6,512$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.95 | 304 | 43.4%132 W · 172 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…41c6backed Yes | 6c | 5,825$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +106%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 5c | 5,500$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.65 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x563e…a157backed No | 69c | 5,207$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 55c | 5,190$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 72c | 5,000$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.86 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 71c | 4,675$3,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.28 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219d…145bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked Yes | 66c | 4,147$2,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.41 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…ad29backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a98…c07ebacked Yes | 64c | 3,646$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked Yes | 39c | 3,286$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.78 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 33c | 3,167$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.26 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc808…fffebacked Yes | 69c | 3,089$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…46e6backed Yes | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 51c | 2,718$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.45 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 41c | 2,643$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.12 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 2,554$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed Yes | 34c | 2,548$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.04 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 21c | 2,500$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…8477backed Yes | 1c | 2,300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38bf…28e2backed Yes | 54c | 2,026$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.85 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 46c | 2,005$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.09 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed Yes | 46c | 1,974$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.18 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1708backed Yes | 44c | 1,939$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 32c | 1,939$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.83 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 45c | 1,712$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.44 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…5d1bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,689$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 67c | 1,677$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c30…37b7backed No | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…99ffbacked Yes | 64c | 1,551$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f21…b935backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…d061backed No | 75c | 1,393$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.74 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed No | 48c | 1,378$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.47 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…c90bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,369$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 11c | 1,361$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.73 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…5bfcbacked Yes | 30c | 1,360$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…c7bbbacked No | 79c | 1,328$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 38c | 1,310$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.49 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 11.7%14 W · 106 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 20c | 1,247$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.86 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,148$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ed…7ee9backed No | 42c | 1,118$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.05 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…348abacked No | 54c | 1,112$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,101$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…81d2backed No | 29c | 1,053$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 19cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 24c | 1,050$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.5 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 54c | 1,044$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.34 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked No | 27c | 1,016$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 34cpaid | +159.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked No | 64c | 1,002$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.12 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed No | 35c | 1,000$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked No | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…837bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…8cdbbacked No | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb3…521bbacked No | 31c | 993.16$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +420.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…28aebacked Yes | 64c | 946$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed No | 36c | 900$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 4c | 889.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed Yes | 59c | 845$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.55 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 53c | 842.61$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.96 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a90…68fbbacked Yes | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f92…d732backed No | 64c | 800$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d32…e863backed Yes | 66c | 800$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 68c | 799.99$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 3c | 793.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed No | 43c | 750$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…829abacked No | 77c | 750$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…6ecdbacked No | 68c | 743$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…cc0bbacked No | 35c | 736.17$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 720.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 84 | 0%0 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec29…9d6fbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked No | 35c | 700$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 3c | 699.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed Yes | 29c | 657.57$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.22 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde08…9d62backed Yes | 22c | 655.32$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…be21backed Yes | 20c | 640.08$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed Yes | 66c | 633.19$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.48 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 69c | 611.42$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked No | 61c | 610.03$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.75 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…0a3bbacked Yes | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked No | 68c | 599.99$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.