Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4f8288b7c86460c9b86b8850f34c59bfa3a89ab689451aece1720c58bfa8700
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 10c | 74,892$7,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,342.01 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc438…3ae6backed Yes | 19c | 15,000$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 9c | 8,789$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 11c | 7,186$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 13c | 6,760$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.1 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…1ebdbacked Yes | 28c | 5,866$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 5,424$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.82 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 9c | 4,000$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Yes | 12c | 3,962$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 18cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…b74dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,496$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.88 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,950$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.15 | 307 | 38.8%119 W · 188 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,840$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.88 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,754$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.47 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe721…b8a9backed Yes | 12c | 2,608$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 21c | 2,566$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.92 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 6c | 2,552$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 12c | 2,430$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.83 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…7d86backed Yes | 31c | 2,205$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…1eecbacked Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 35c | 1,879$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.51 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bb…df7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,808$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes | 17c | 1,802$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.31 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc4…b4f2backed Yes | 13c | 1,582$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…94f1backed Yes | 21c | 1,553$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.91 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…c577backed Yes | 13c | 1,378$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes | 15c | 1,338$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…2294backed Yes | 10c | 1,147$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…c74bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,101$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…1fbcbacked No | 78c | 1,010$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 10c | 1,006$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 14c | 990.3$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9afc…314bbacked Yes | 4c | 943.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 930.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 7c | 913.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 901.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 72c | 825.66$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.59 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…c377backed Yes | 11c | 805.82$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 3c | 780.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9574…a119backed Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 13c | 735.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…1f74backed Yes | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 16c | 661.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 26c | 652.19$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f7…c419backed Yes | 9c | 579.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 12c | 577.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 575.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…3339backed No | 75c | 531.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed Yes | 17c | 522.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 5c | 512.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…18e7backed Yes | 22c | 510.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6449…5b1fbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…ad29backed Yes | 8c | 499.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 12c | 491$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 24c | 431.11$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 74c | 407.85$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdb…ba6cbacked Yes | 14c | 400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…c37bbacked Yes | 15c | 393.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked No | 57c | 365.08$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed Yes | 17c | 357.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…3d03backed Yes | 15c | 353.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 63c | 318.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 10c | 317.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 14c | 307.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…7fb5backed Yes | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c9…1c13backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed Yes | 15c | 280.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 23c | 276.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…61b4backed Yes | 12c | 268.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…fdf7backed Yes | 17c | 267.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2a…6750backed Yes | 17c | 259.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked Yes | 30c | 249.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…8346backed Yes | 17c | 248.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +185%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…1ff5backed Yes | 7c | 226$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 7c | 225$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…3fd7backed No | 70c | 220.64$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…5933backed Yes | 7c | 213$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c51…2126backed No | 73c | 206.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed Yes | 15c | 202.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e8…32d2backed Yes | 7c | 201$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…87aebacked Yes | 12c | 200.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb24c…eefebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…ffa3backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa037…2fb3backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +274.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…9977backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…5f9fbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb8…1fe9backed Yes | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 16c | 184.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…47f1backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 67c | 153.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 13c | 136.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38bf…28e2backed Yes | 24c | 131.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.