Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55dfd168bd0e352e3a976434ca44143a786cd4764b5dc534f7690f762e0de15c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $732,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $701,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 1c | 76,881$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.77 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 1c | 54,808$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.03 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 1c | 33,120$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.94 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…d759backed Yes | 1c | 27,677$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.09 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 1c | 25,851$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.06 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…a0b1backed Yes | 1c | 20,062$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…3b4fbacked Yes | 1c | 16,067$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…c74bbacked Yes | 1c | 14,983$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…e7f3backed Yes | 1c | 13,042$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 12,566$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 11,578$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d77…6bd8backed Yes | 0c | 11,533$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 10,665$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 9,986$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a5…63bbbacked Yes | 1c | 9,266$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…c37bbacked Yes | 2c | 8,088$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638e…2540backed Yes | 1c | 7,774$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…1672backed Yes | 1c | 7,706$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…8be7backed Yes | 1c | 6,741$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2919…ddbfbacked Yes | 1c | 6,620$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…6624backed Yes | 0c | 5,200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…8e57backed Yes | 1c | 5,148$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…1b86backed Yes | 1c | 3,998$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 0c | 3,917$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac9…c4c9backed Yes | 1c | 3,776$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1579…2336backed Yes | 2c | 3,290$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,267$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…160dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,255$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 1c | 3,201$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 2c | 2,495$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…8409backed Yes | 8c | 2,457$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.14 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 2,419$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6c…64b4backed Yes | 1c | 2,351$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…6bd6backed Yes | 1c | 2,257$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8794…fa1bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3281…6531backed Yes | 1c | 2,133$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9630…33f4backed Yes | 1c | 2,099$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…c0efbacked Yes | 1c | 2,045$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…e50bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…e130backed Yes | 1c | 1,912$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…e9bfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,911$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…0720backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec29…9d6fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,604$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…755fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,586$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2589…bb9cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,429$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…3ef9backed Yes | 1c | 1,416$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…e607backed Yes | 2c | 1,249$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Yes | 2c | 1,127$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd844…cdd9backed Yes | 2c | 1,029$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 986.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 84 | 0%0 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 2c | 754.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…5b92backed Yes | 1c | 715.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 6c | 325$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.