Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce6e65fe577a1fdc8d9ca724d6c7bfc3f7f019406a8ec64ff21014302b6acedd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked No | 35c | 8,025$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.74 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…c023backed Yes | 73c | 4,143$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed No | 29c | 2,039$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.43 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed No | 62c | 1,264$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…5b73backed Yes | 22c | 1,152$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,086$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.61 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 65c | 887.52$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.28 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked No | 22c | 871.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked No | 10c | 692.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 55c | 658.95$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.96 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 24c | 652.32$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.96 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed No | 79c | 400$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fb…9713backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…62f8backed Yes | 15c | 373.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.31per pick | 57cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 22c | 283.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…8144backed Yes | 60c | 205.42$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…94f1backed No | 36c | 194.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb5…4d50backed Yes | 24c | 191.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.66 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…e9b8backed Yes | 27c | 169.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ec11backed Yes | 25c | 160.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.09 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 19c | 157.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.54 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -18.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 125.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…4421backed No | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…f463backed Yes | 20c | 119.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…ba12backed No | 40c | 118.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…0479backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 32c | 85.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -15.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…bd00backed Yes | 25c | 78.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…4960backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed Yes | 34c | 62.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed Yes | 59c | 57.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 44c | 52.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e82…10efbacked No | 73c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a88…7190backed No | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 42c | 33.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e9…1e74backed No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 69c | 25.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 62c | 24.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 64c | 21.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5705…4652backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x845c…0407backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff6…1369backed No | 72c | 15.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.