Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c63863c9f4449243981ae1748c5ee9d4d8c8f22e25f708a9afd4c86e124f360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,685,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,720,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,685,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 655 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f77…9da4backed No | 50c | 156,528$77,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,645.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 28c | 141,597$39,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,089.83 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 47c | 114,195$54,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,152.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 38c | 104,098$39,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,048.58 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b7…a014backed No | 80c | 99,564$79,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,651.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…0741backed No | 53c | 87,189$46,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,534.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…9c23backed No | 70c | 52,408$36,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,869.33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 43c | 47,000$20,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,368.36 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…41c6backed Yes | 14c | 39,526$5,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,874.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +106%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 18c | 27,102$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,191.1 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 16c | 26,685$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,470.37 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 22,700$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.37 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…1e69backed No | 51c | 19,573$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked Yes | 55c | 19,429$10,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,721.46 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 49c | 18,887$9,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,661.24 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…46e6backed No | 78c | 18,000$13,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,974.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 54c | 17,569$9,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,035.37 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed No | 69c | 17,348$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ad…0724backed Yes | 28c | 17,332$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,421.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…3ef9backed Yes | 39c | 16,959$6,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,354 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Yes | 52c | 15,845$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,645.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa2…1c9abacked Yes | 73c | 14,654$10,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 28c | 14,056$3,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,121.61 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 53c | 12,905$6,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,107.42 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 12c | 12,220$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,739.75 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 59c | 8,801$5,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600.48 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 32c | 8,787$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,987.51 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes | 60c | 8,197$4,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.15 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…a6a9backed Yes | 3c | 7,601$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,354.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +2,980.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…e696backed Yes | 19c | 7,538$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,107.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 24c | 7,389$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,619.62 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…8be7backed No | 5c | 7,006$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.18 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…ab8abacked Yes | 61c | 6,985$4,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…a280backed No | 71c | 6,400$4,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,544.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…6a67backed No | 67c | 6,000$4,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,043.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…6ecdbacked Yes | 9c | 5,500$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,012.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 48c | 5,301$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 51c | 5,078$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.09 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 17c | 4,510$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745.84 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed No | 78c | 4,510$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.96 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed No | 74c | 4,333$3,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,212.89 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 32c | 4,053$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.45 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 55c | 3,791$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…486fbacked Yes | 21c | 3,668$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…3766backed Yes | 10c | 3,587$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 43c | 3,507$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.09 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…03efbacked No | 53c | 3,388$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 5c | 3,311$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.66 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf4…77a7backed Yes | 25c | 3,057$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…abecbacked Yes | 80c | 3,035$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.79 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed No | 70c | 2,633$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.27 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…e8b3backed Yes | 12c | 2,615$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.02 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…3bc0backed No | 73c | 2,604$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.8 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6e71backed Yes | 25c | 2,573$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…cdb9backed Yes | 56c | 2,500$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.09 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 50c | 2,484$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.65 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 74c | 2,383$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.18 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed No | 62c | 2,375$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…e8babacked Yes | 30c | 2,367$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…e156backed Yes | 10c | 2,345$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +171.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…9a43backed Yes | 26c | 2,232$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…44c4backed Yes | 39c | 2,202$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 23c | 2,200$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.6 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 7c | 2,179$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b2…615dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,177$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +1,148.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2919…ddbfbacked Yes | 8c | 2,080$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.59 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.96 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c6…73a7backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…80aebacked No | 4c | 2,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 24cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 41c | 2,000$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…7346backed Yes | 60c | 1,953$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f1…a19ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,950$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 2c | 1,922$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…9e4abacked Yes | 31c | 1,843$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed Yes | 26c | 1,835$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.59 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…8144backed Yes | 38c | 1,822$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.88 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c07…af36backed Yes | 52c | 1,723$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed Yes | 28c | 1,709$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,686$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.17 | 307 | 38.8%119 W · 188 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,685$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.65 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c3…2555backed Yes | 24c | 1,664$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +312.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 67c | 1,611$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.71 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f8…70ccbacked Yes | 21c | 1,571$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +384.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 11c | 1,571$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.54 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…c177backed Yes | 10c | 1,524$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed No | 45c | 1,500$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdc…1348backed Yes | 28c | 1,494$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +175.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…2ee5backed Yes | 23c | 1,490$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.45 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 33c | 1,466$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.04 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,449$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.46 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,416$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.3 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed No | 70c | 1,400$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.53 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb2…cb9abacked Yes | 7c | 1,383$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.22 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.37per pick | 54cpaid | +195.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed Yes | 25c | 1,338$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 27c | 1,332$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.23 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea2…a4f7backed Yes | 69c | 1,331$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.88 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4656…41d7backed No | 39c | 1,307$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…87f3backed Yes | 15c | 1,265$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +556.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…f719backed Yes | 50c | 1,263$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.93 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 1,261$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.38 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.