Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21c77725363b6717538157cf5ce5cf9c69571120870d6def4233257566e07db4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,830,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,035,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,830,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 10c | 143,397$14,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,189.94 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa2…1c9abacked Yes | 17c | 71,856$12,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,501.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 5c | 35,306$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.97 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 9c | 35,151$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.41 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…3766backed Yes | 4c | 25,027$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 12c | 24,173$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.77 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 7c | 23,175$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.12 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 7c | 19,221$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.38 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 21cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…c023backed Yes | 2c | 18,181$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 13c | 13,600$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.15 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 6c | 13,379$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.88 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes | 17c | 12,626$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 74c | 10,937$8,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.49 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 10c | 10,722$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f21…b935backed Yes | 5c | 9,753$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 8,844$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.97 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…3ef9backed Yes | 5c | 8,425$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Yes | 2c | 8,188$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 64c | 7,851$5,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.62 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…486fbacked Yes | 23c | 7,607$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 3c | 7,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…3171backed Yes | 3c | 7,492$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…9a43backed Yes | 5c | 5,761$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…fd9dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,641$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…8144backed Yes | 9c | 5,469$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 5,190$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.8 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…43eebacked Yes | 9c | 4,436$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 23c | 4,246$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.61 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 6c | 4,100$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.72 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 4,003$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…cdb9backed Yes | 21c | 4,000$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce98…1b49backed Yes | 2c | 3,931$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 12c | 3,466$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.29 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 4c | 3,400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08d3…2150backed Yes | 2c | 3,327$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 17c | 3,299$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.96 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…e696backed Yes | 6c | 3,149$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc438…3ae6backed Yes | 22c | 3,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…2ee5backed Yes | 14c | 2,926$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…f719backed Yes | 15c | 2,706$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.7 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,701$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…ab8abacked Yes | 32c | 2,700$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 79c | 2,652$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.3 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 2,639$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 84 | 0%0 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…b2bebacked Yes | 4c | 2,619$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…3d03backed Yes | 2c | 2,601$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,547$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 12c | 2,472$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.4 | 310 | 34.8%108 W · 202 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…d8d6backed Yes | 8c | 2,400$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,346$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.54 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf491…ee5ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,263$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea2…a4f7backed No | 80c | 2,242$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.87 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.76 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes | 24c | 2,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7c…1dc7backed Yes | 25c | 2,180$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4656…41d7backed No | 79c | 2,094$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe767…8a4fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,079$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a8…73f6backed Yes | 5c | 2,040$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Yes | 50c | 2,006$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,989$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 4c | 1,916$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…8cf5backed Yes | 15c | 1,876$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 45c | 1,771$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.07 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 64c | 1,767$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.35 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…af9ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,649$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 20c | 1,634$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…c74bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,583$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…b9f5backed Yes | 6c | 1,573$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…e607backed Yes | 2c | 1,552$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed Yes | 4c | 1,535$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06fb…9713backed No | 74c | 1,475$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.73 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 75c | 1,451$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.79 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 70c | 1,430$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.6 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…69c5backed Yes | 5c | 1,395$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e5…c88ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,370$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…fc71backed Yes | 19c | 1,360$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.03 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,350$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 65c | 1,339$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.59 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +72%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…0e20backed Yes | 1c | 1,281$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…37fcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,254$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9afc…314bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,226$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c62…84fcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,127$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…e39abacked Yes | 3c | 1,123$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 6c | 1,114$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…27d2backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 32cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…a0b1backed Yes | 11c | 1,095$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…47f1backed Yes | 2c | 1,067$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1284…9b8abacked Yes | 4c | 1,059$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 8c | 1,021$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,019$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 308 | 39%120 W · 188 L | +20.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…61eabacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 14.1%14 W · 85 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.