Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a869359895989c1dee6f920c203f12791f03c206e86ce48353c46626ee743b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,540,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,627,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,540,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 645 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6e9…0741backed No | 44c | 144,569$63,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,955.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…9da4backed No | 11c | 93,317$10,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,311.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 19c | 55,002$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,502.3 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 22c | 53,077$11,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,300.97 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 29c | 48,310$13,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,411.79 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 64c | 37,142$23,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,894.91 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 76c | 31,871$24,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,733.52 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 41c | 30,555$12,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,094.39 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Yes | 13c | 22,412$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,512.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 39c | 22,220$8,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,576.37 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 26c | 19,452$5,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,410.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 79c | 18,335$14,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,782.18 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 54c | 16,262$8,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,487.55 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 15c | 15,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,750 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 28c | 12,194$3,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…46e6backed No | 60c | 12,000$7,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,174.98 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…3ef9backed Yes | 60c | 11,690$6,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 59c | 11,592$6,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,695.6 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ad…0724backed Yes | 12c | 11,514$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,159.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…c8e4backed No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 52c | 10,239$5,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,324.83 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…44c4backed Yes | 55c | 9,606$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked Yes | 72c | 9,479$6,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.77 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…81d2backed Yes | 9c | 8,389$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,658.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 19cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 54c | 8,185$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.38 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 28c | 8,005$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,779.96 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…41c6backed Yes | 40c | 7,944$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,729.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +106%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…333bbacked Yes | 10c | 7,503$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,767.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…7346backed Yes | 80c | 7,476$5,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 75c | 6,770$5,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,101.59 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…8be7backed Yes | 45c | 6,684$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662.97 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…1e69backed No | 15c | 6,581$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…7d85backed Yes | 55c | 6,401$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.43 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 36c | 5,994$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.9 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked No | 45c | 5,518$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 49c | 5,417$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.65 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | +34.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…3766backed Yes | 24c | 5,184$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc438…3ae6backed No | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5b…403fbacked No | 1c | 4,948$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 47c | 4,228$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.6 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 55c | 3,959$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.68 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 17c | 3,881$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.49 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 21cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…cdb9backed Yes | 69c | 3,871$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6415…e022backed Yes | 61c | 3,867$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 58c | 3,846$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.51 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38bf…28e2backed No | 53c | 3,815$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.18 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked Yes | 51c | 3,707$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.74 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…8eefbacked No | 55c | 3,559$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.15 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…3bc0backed No | 63c | 3,511$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed No | 38c | 3,437$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.03 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…9c23backed No | 80c | 3,403$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…abecbacked Yes | 74c | 3,160$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed No | 39c | 3,144$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.9 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 42c | 3,141$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.92 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 24c | 3,092$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.22 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 24c | 3,000$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.5 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked No | 28c | 2,923$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed Yes | 11c | 2,910$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.44 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 48c | 2,820$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.48 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed Yes | 41c | 2,797$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.16 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed Yes | 46c | 2,766$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.53 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb971…e7aebacked No | 41c | 2,730$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 47c | 2,728$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.39 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d1…c1a2backed Yes | 77c | 2,669$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…8144backed Yes | 41c | 2,532$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.6 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 50c | 2,412$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.81 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…a5b0backed Yes | 69c | 2,123$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.96 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 35c | 2,016$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.83 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…650fbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45f8…c554backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…f0dbbacked Yes | 55c | 1,985$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…9a43backed Yes | 54c | 1,976$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,970$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.02 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2db7…8f9bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,912$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.98 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…730cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,909$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 30c | 1,887$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.56 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,863$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.16 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f8…2d1dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 59c | 1,850$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,849$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.76 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…384ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,841$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 73c | 1,834$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…8c49backed No | 47c | 1,809$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb06…f7d9backed Yes | 57c | 1,761$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 3c | 1,700$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…2a21backed Yes | 5c | 1,684$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +631.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…06fdbacked Yes | 57c | 1,650$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Yes | 44c | 1,644$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb350…fe6dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 75c | 1,610$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.02 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…a280backed No | 74c | 1,600$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed No | 69c | 1,593$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.89 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,580$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.75 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 68c | 1,550$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,548$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.96 | 304 | 38.8%118 W · 186 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…c7bdbacked Yes | 47c | 1,509$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.78 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed Yes | 55c | 1,423$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.01 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed No | 34c | 1,353$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 45c | 1,335$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.