TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,391,310
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,556,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,391,310 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe392…c023backed Yes1c274,855$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,367.25728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid-53.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes16c175,514$27,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,333.9810930.3%33 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfd7…b2dbbacked Yes0c111,000$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e9…0741backed No77c103,389$79,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,760.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-44.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed Yes7c39,803$2,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,852.8411921%25 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x208a…ab0fbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-58.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-58%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdacf…3c74backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c19,932$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.3320624.8%51 W · 155 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c9…5514backed Yes0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0feb…db5dbacked No72c11,208$8,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,109.813100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe234…304abacked Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+131.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f7…c419backed Yes2c8,955$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.79560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b8…8cf5backed Yes12c6,974$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.441315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e4…b74dbacked Yes3c6,061$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5980%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x372e…64c1backed Yes4c6,025$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x492f…8144backed Yes14c6,003$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.512425%6 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes6c3,062$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.753920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes11c2,730$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.313429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked Yes8c2,719$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.311442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes8c2,593$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.91,0249.1%93 W · 931 L-25.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes2c2,336$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.97474.3%2 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes16c2,045$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.41030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007044.3%31 W · 39 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8199…bb6dbacked Yes8c1,995$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes14c1,777$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.947526.7%20 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f0…c05fbacked Yes31c1,626$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x616b…4070backed Yes33c1,206$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d41…6acabacked Yes26c1,188$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfee…0608backed Yes18c1,122$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf6…2ecdbacked Yes28c1,120$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x929a…5ab4backed Yes26c1,117$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.843633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7994…c512backed Yes23c1,115$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.844634.8%16 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes9c1,037$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.597812.8%10 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Yes20c1,027$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.941723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f60…5fe1backed Yes2c995.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7640%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes18c995.24$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.991833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ea…18e7backed Yes31c965.49$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.671127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a7b8backed Yes8c934.1$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792638.5%10 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick21cpaid+27.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e07…0439backed Yes22c895$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf32…456abacked Yes4c800$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed No69c720.17$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.724042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes16c698.72$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.91,26524.5%310 W · 955 L-56.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a7c…1dc7backed Yes31c678.52$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes6c673.6$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0330839.6%122 W · 186 L-17.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb83…96a7backed Yes26c641.09$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3350%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x845c…0407backed Yes18c612.32$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104721.3%10 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6449…5b1fbacked Yes33c602.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes28c599.98$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.396325.4%16 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No75c573.01$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.042050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes10c548$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.56114.8%9 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes23c541.78$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0311929.4%35 W · 84 L-18.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-47.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf7f0…6b0cbacked Yes3c528.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa53b…4021backed Yes4c525.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5329447.3%139 W · 155 L+34.3wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+30.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x51de…9e4abacked Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48c9…5556backed Yes3c480.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd324…b23cbacked Yes22c457.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…6efbbacked Yes17c455.52$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.351154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+55.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fce…2566backed No79c452.79$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.591942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac38…efffbacked Yes12c405$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.95825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41c…5bd3backed No74c400.41$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.757356.2%41 W · 32 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed No77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.557860.3%47 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes14c399.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-55.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes12c386.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9623323.6%55 W · 178 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4886…4c9dbacked Yes26c380.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes25c355.71$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.93737.8%14 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes4c353$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.04840%0 W · 84 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes11c324.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.392638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes33c301.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.057727.3%21 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed No79c299.99$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.27334.2%25 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8611…2c36backed Yes7c287.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x403f…94f1backed Yes12c283.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2120443.6%89 W · 115 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb5…4d50backed Yes4c262.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.772842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd35d…ec11backed Yes4c256.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.771844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc271…1708backed No78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.413764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed Yes13c254$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0132023.4%75 W · 245 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7f…7bfdbacked Yes15c248.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c5f…5449backed Yes20c247.78$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.54540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes9c230$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.013215.6%5 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-50.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92a4…7c91backed Yes24c230$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf492…4c1dbacked Yes27c211.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8964…0becbacked No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1a9…d211backed Yes22c200$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453923.1%9 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid+19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fc6…7306backed Yes29c180$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.063713.5%5 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfa…f0c6backed Yes23c177.12$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.691421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9428…e4b7backed Yes29c174.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-67.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x703a…cf39backed Yes33c172.31$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.622642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddd…47f1backed Yes12c168.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Yes12c167.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.269544.2%42 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes12c156.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.191844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x924c…fc41backed Yes24c155.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…d92dbacked No75c153.89$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.895058%29 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Yes20c150$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5740%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5073…16a7backed Yes31c147.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.63948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9480…f463backed Yes27c147.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick23cpaid+127.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes18c145.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c11…c35abacked Yes28c140.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6f7…87aebacked Yes29c140$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.471442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+55.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a15…77c3backed No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.