Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x051cd7d8ee2d0d4b38aef35adbf4ad4de44ea5bda2f9f36c70d919179ef75491
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,391,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,556,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,391,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe392…c023backed Yes | 1c | 274,855$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 16c | 175,514$27,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,333.98 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd7…b2dbbacked Yes | 0c | 111,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…0741backed No | 77c | 103,389$79,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,760.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 7c | 39,803$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.84 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…ab0fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 19,932$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.33 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…5514backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0feb…db5dbacked No | 72c | 11,208$8,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f7…c419backed Yes | 2c | 8,955$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…8cf5backed Yes | 12c | 6,974$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.44 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…b74dbacked Yes | 3c | 6,061$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.59 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…64c1backed Yes | 4c | 6,025$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…8144backed Yes | 14c | 6,003$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.51 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,062$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 11c | 2,730$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.31 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 8c | 2,719$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 2,593$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.9 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 2,336$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 16c | 2,045$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8199…bb6dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,995$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 14c | 1,777$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.94 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f0…c05fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,626$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…4070backed Yes | 33c | 1,206$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d41…6acabacked Yes | 26c | 1,188$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Yes | 18c | 1,122$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…2ecdbacked Yes | 28c | 1,120$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed Yes | 26c | 1,117$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 23c | 1,115$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.84 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,037$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,027$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.94 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…5fe1backed Yes | 2c | 995.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 18c | 995.24$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…18e7backed Yes | 31c | 965.49$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 8c | 934.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 21cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…0439backed Yes | 22c | 895$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf32…456abacked Yes | 4c | 800$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed No | 69c | 720.17$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.72 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 16c | 698.72$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7c…1dc7backed Yes | 31c | 678.52$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 6c | 673.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb83…96a7backed Yes | 26c | 641.09$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x845c…0407backed Yes | 18c | 612.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6449…5b1fbacked Yes | 33c | 602.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 28c | 599.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.39 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 75c | 573.01$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.04 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 10c | 548$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 23c | 541.78$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.03 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -18.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…6b0cbacked Yes | 3c | 528.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 4c | 525.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | +34.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…9e4abacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c9…5556backed Yes | 3c | 480.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked Yes | 22c | 457.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…6efbbacked Yes | 17c | 455.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed No | 79c | 452.79$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac38…efffbacked Yes | 12c | 405$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…5bd3backed No | 74c | 400.41$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 14c | 399.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 12c | 386.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4886…4c9dbacked Yes | 26c | 380.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 25c | 355.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 4c | 353$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 84 | 0%0 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 11c | 324.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Yes | 33c | 301.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 79c | 299.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8611…2c36backed Yes | 7c | 287.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…94f1backed Yes | 12c | 283.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb5…4d50backed Yes | 4c | 262.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ec11backed Yes | 4c | 256.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1708backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 13c | 254$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7bfdbacked Yes | 15c | 248.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…5449backed Yes | 20c | 247.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 9c | 230$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a4…7c91backed Yes | 24c | 230$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…4c1dbacked Yes | 27c | 211.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…0becbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed Yes | 22c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…7306backed Yes | 29c | 180$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfa…f0c6backed Yes | 23c | 177.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9428…e4b7backed Yes | 29c | 174.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…cf39backed Yes | 33c | 172.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…47f1backed Yes | 12c | 168.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 12c | 167.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes | 12c | 156.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x924c…fc41backed Yes | 24c | 155.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…d92dbacked No | 75c | 153.89$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Yes | 20c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed Yes | 31c | 147.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…f463backed Yes | 27c | 147.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 18c | 145.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…c35abacked Yes | 28c | 140.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…87aebacked Yes | 29c | 140$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a15…77c3backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.