Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb890ec39d646eba02450865de7b956791b693d52954477ad88b88e6ba9567da0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $526,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $446,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 2c | 103,120$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.43 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 2c | 65,143$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.64 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…3b4fbacked Yes | 2c | 29,358$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.63 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 2c | 23,699$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.21 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes | 3c | 18,000$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…c37bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,014$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…8144backed Yes | 2c | 9,879$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 9,541$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 2c | 9,142$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.9 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 9,088$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.72 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 2c | 8,095$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.98 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 4c | 5,399$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.21 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…37fcbacked Yes | 2c | 4,565$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 3c | 4,310$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.77 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 3,581$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…9f63backed Yes | 4c | 3,281$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…0fcdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,214$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +237.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…c74bbacked Yes | 4c | 3,128$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.28 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…d57cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,945$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 2c | 2,800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed Yes | 2c | 2,740$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 0c | 2,504$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 2,250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 2c | 2,188$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…d688backed Yes | 2c | 2,076$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -69%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2919…ddbfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,056$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…43eebacked Yes | 6c | 1,852$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219d…145bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,542$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2f7cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,341$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…dcf8backed Yes | 4c | 1,284$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed Yes | 4c | 1,130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 2c | 1,118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,113$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 1,108$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845e…d22bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,081$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ef…e9fcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3281…6531backed Yes | 2c | 1,035$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…fd9dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,011$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…1f74backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…e9bfbacked Yes | 2c | 984.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…f719backed Yes | 2c | 955.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…162cbacked Yes | 1c | 927.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7a…6875backed Yes | 5c | 924.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…1b86backed Yes | 2c | 847.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec29…9d6fbacked Yes | 3c | 766.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…46d0backed Yes | 1c | 751.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9167…3be6backed Yes | 2c | 714.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…bb3fbacked Yes | 3c | 660.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…c236backed Yes | 3c | 657.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2589…bb9cbacked Yes | 3c | 638.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…7067backed Yes | 2c | 579.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 3c | 571.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 84 | 0%0 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…755fbacked Yes | 2c | 527.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f6…8fbebacked Yes | 5c | 465.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 465.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd564…60a3backed Yes | 3c | 447.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 4c | 353.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…0e20backed Yes | 4c | 351.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…3011backed Yes | 3c | 343.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b53…3598backed Yes | 5c | 290$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 8c | 269.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…d0abbacked Yes | 9c | 217.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…fcc6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…149cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.