TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf579…9989

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
328
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: AI, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category AI at 54 out of 100; worst Commodities at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT16048.8%78 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 160 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,019.16
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$732
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+210.9%+$746.33
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$527.94
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,561Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$464.4
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$80.77
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.25
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$49
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.01
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$16.84
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$11.36
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.3
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$519.98
Showing 25 of 160 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$222.72
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+71%+$415.26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,103.89
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,558.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.22
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$174.14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$211.33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$919.98
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,764Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+48%+$1,804.87
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14,324Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$4,172.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$191.83
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10,152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$2,648
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,699Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$602.42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,677.81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,367Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$2,217.04
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.01
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.61
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.58
Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$11.89
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$40.2
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.7
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.88
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+208.6%+$168.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$68.2
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.22
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.28
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Squid FDV above $75M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$92.3
Squid FDV above $100M one day after launchbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.72
Squid FDV above $200M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.31
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.5
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$169.97
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$25.07
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.95
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.35
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,442Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$1,478.66
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$292
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.35
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$569.98
Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$181.84
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,874Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$4,574.86
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$8,417Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$2,408.75
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$399
USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$120.52
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$31.2
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.59
Will T1 win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.59
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$52.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$80.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.45
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$472.38
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,639Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,803.91
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,072.02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$518.31
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.