Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ff5df0c1ccabbcc78a6347366cf6c17ca99064f40d61542022c29a832246244
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 70c | 4,484$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.4 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed No | 74c | 2,302$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.42 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…5962backed Yes | 27c | 1,395$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.36 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 31c | 1,200$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.74 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | +34.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 71c | 1,047$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…8316backed No | 64c | 801.56$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.96 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 27c | 663.18$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.57 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed No | 69c | 601.3$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.17 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x95e0…d772backed Yes | 44c | 596$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.28 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 72c | 416.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.74 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…9b29backed Yes | 11c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…c2f0backed No | 65c | 400$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…bf1ebacked Yes | 32c | 271.62$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed No | 78c | 250$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Yes | 37c | 243.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…3239backed Yes | 25c | 240.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 38c | 211.3$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…6245backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked No | 58c | 169$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…e41dbacked Yes | 36c | 157.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 64c | 157.41$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed Yes | 23c | 154.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…1d93backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…2ab0backed No | 76c | 138.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 24c | 138.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 32c | 129$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…0f20backed Yes | 21c | 123.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 31c | 123.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | +20.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…df14backed No | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 31c | 114.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked No | 66c | 114.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb28…b1a2backed Yes | 37c | 109$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed No | 72c | 105$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eaa…44eebacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…0a7dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +233%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdb…5417backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 78c | 96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…305dbacked Yes | 40c | 68.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4d…0b8fbacked No | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…c90bbacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…dc61backed No | 61c | 55.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 29c | 54.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…5090backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…ccacbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…793ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…ab27backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…c6bbbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…6270backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +224.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed No | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Yes | 37c | 48.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 162 | 76.5%124 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 29c | 36.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…a821backed Yes | 39c | 34.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked No | 64c | 33.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…97acbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ce…aec5backed Yes | 34c | 30.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51d…1578backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…c868backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 36c | 29.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…9f00backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…10ffbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…a301backed No | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +13.2wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 17.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 1,045 | 34.6%362 W · 683 L | -93.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of May 25 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 25 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 25 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 25 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 25 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 25 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.