TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6061…5090

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.33
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$32.94
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winnerbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.38
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.5
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.88
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.54
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$129.77
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$310
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$135
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.84
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Dbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.38
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.99
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.62
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$96.71
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.76
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.72
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$35.91
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.75
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winnerbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winnerbacked Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.99
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$25.2
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffsbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$78.36
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$102.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 20?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$156.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.3
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$67.18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$468
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.75
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$116.98
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$275
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+100.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.02
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$118.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$12.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$837Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$244.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.