TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rafael Jodarof James Duckworth, Rafael Jodar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$524,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$519,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $524,074 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed James Duckworth11c34,103$3,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,633.978,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked James Duckworth7c22,575$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9845036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed James Duckworth11c22,211$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405.1524841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac39…95c7backed James Duckworth3c16,434$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.377025.7%18 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed James Duckworth9c15,907$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.063,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed James Duckworth5c12,018$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.94045%18 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed James Duckworth10c11,405$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.674,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed James Duckworth6c10,902$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.6746030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed James Duckworth11c10,233$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.918,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed James Duckworth24c7,694$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.4927431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed James Duckworth5c7,303$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.5318315.8%29 W · 154 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed James Duckworth5c5,800$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904431.8%14 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe166…8f14backed James Duckworth19c5,634$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.32015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick21cpaid+6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dbd…e1e3backed James Duckworth10c5,210$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.3327446.7%128 W · 146 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked James Duckworth4c5,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22037944.6%169 W · 210 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3359…81c2backed James Duckworth4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20090%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed James Duckworth5c4,562$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.11,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked James Duckworth18c4,521$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.8845737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked James Duckworth6c4,280$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1335951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed James Duckworth10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40037540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed James Duckworth5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012322%27 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed James Duckworth13c3,817$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9928562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37f…b107backed James Duckworth15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3f8…4682backed James Duckworth8c2,962$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.993318.2%6 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1abc…48d7backed James Duckworth13c2,557$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fd…7fefbacked James Duckworth9c2,533$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.25644.6%25 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8505…e4ddbacked James Duckworth6c2,517$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.342420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick29cpaid+15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed James Duckworth11c2,500$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.3930827.6%85 W · 223 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff8…f8c1backed James Duckworth4c2,490$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed James Duckworth5c2,188$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.541,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed James Duckworth6c2,172$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3238911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked James Duckworth25c2,090$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.0580153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed James Duckworth5c2,059$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9342839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked James Duckworth20c2,000$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.0754138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked James Duckworth4c1,971$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010430.8%32 W · 72 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked James Duckworth15c1,810$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.0799244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed James Duckworth14c1,775$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed James Duckworth18c1,726$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9726049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1b…b9c4backed James Duckworth4c1,719$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.573441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+175.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked James Duckworth6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010423.1%24 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe391…eea1backed James Duckworth6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017647.2%83 W · 93 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x531c…678cbacked James Duckworth5c1,650$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.95425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick2cpaid+5,795.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed James Duckworth4c1,639$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.551,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked James Duckworth3c1,600$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.27811.5%9 W · 69 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+74.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed James Duckworth5c1,573$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed James Duckworth13c1,551$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9957321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed James Duckworth12c1,539$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7792145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed James Duckworth10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed James Duckworth10c1,462$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.762,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed James Duckworth24c1,450$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.8443647.2%206 W · 230 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked James Duckworth13c1,330$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Rafael Jodar76c1,310$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.8394068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf203…bffabacked James Duckworth5c1,310$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.48195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Rafael Jodar78c1,232$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.8391755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked James Duckworth14c1,177$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.242,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed James Duckworth14c1,132$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.234,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed James Duckworth2c1,130$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.891,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac4…0f3bbacked Rafael Jodar76c1,095$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.337032.9%23 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+49.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked James Duckworth3c1,091$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7375312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed James Duckworth5c1,041$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.036225.8%16 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+113.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a34…51fabacked James Duckworth10c1,006$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9122020%44 W · 176 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked James Duckworth4c1,000$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.226921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Rafael Jodar80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20018932.3%61 W · 128 L+0.7wins0.00per pick32cpaid+496.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed James Duckworth5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked James Duckworth15c964.09$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5845343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed James Duckworth9c859.02$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0922821.1%48 W · 180 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed James Duckworth6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5048331.1%150 W · 333 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf39…3394backed Rafael Jodar75c827.79$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.9533462.6%209 W · 125 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…5715backed James Duckworth12c805.93$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2510234.3%35 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked James Duckworth14c737.68$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1656827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Rafael Jodar80c732$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0885449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed James Duckworth16c672.04$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3421524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5df…be66backed James Duckworth9c672.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.844042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked James Duckworth3c658.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.021,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…f937backed James Duckworth11c620.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706630.3%20 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6075…2f82backed James Duckworth5c580$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2913944.6%62 W · 77 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcd…b8dbbacked James Duckworth4c550.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.632025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…0716backed James Duckworth5c523.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.39130%0 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd764…ae83backed James Duckworth6c502.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Rafael Jodar70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed James Duckworth6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308725.3%22 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked James Duckworth9c499.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.381,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed James Duckworth12c480$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.362,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed James Duckworth5c466.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.82,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked James Duckworth15c465.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.161,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked James Duckworth16c464.48$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.075,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked James Duckworth11c459.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.751,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed James Duckworth12c420.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed James Duckworth11c404.11$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4547639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e8…b293backed James Duckworth5c400.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020337.9%77 W · 126 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked James Duckworth11c400$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.521317.4%37 W · 176 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed James Duckworth24c399.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.245850.7%232 W · 226 L-1.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x953f…7518backed James Duckworth4c399.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142540%10 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3904…0cafbacked James Duckworth13c384.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502010%2 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed James Duckworth5c378$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.911952.1%62 W · 57 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed James Duckworth8c348$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2731436.9%116 W · 198 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked James Duckworth15c327.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4933352.6%175 W · 158 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6061…5090backed James Duckworth5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+100.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked James Duckworth6c300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.246040%184 W · 276 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed James Duckworth16c278.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0923932.6%78 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.