Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Duckworth (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cc9d9839a468fd7a179b6745cef80076db0e344db0e6283a14d7a283c6fab25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duckworthof Jodar, Duckworth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Jodar | 69c | 2,896$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.36 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Duckworth | 31c | 2,191$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.9 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Jodar | 68c | 1,130$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.56 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Duckworth | 32c | 1,123$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.62 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Duckworth | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Jodar | 69c | 589.71$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.8 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Duckworth | 31c | 574.53$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.43 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Duckworth | 30c | 542.01$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.41 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Jodar | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Duckworth | 31c | 387.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.08 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Duckworth | 31c | 323$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.87 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Jodar | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…887ebacked Jodar | 69c | 287.83$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Jodar | 69c | 210.2$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Jodar | 69c | 174.78$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Duckworth | 31c | 173.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Duckworth | 31c | 120$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Jodar | 68c | 100.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…fc07backed Jodar | 69c | 100.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Jodar | 68c | 90.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Duckworth | 33c | 81.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9606…1acfbacked Jodar | 68c | 72.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Duckworth | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…551abacked Jodar | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Duckworth | 33c | 36.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…57a4backed Jodar | 69c | 28.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…cac5backed Jodar | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Duckworth (+2.5)this page
- James Duckworth vs. Rafael Jodar: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Rafael JodarRafael Jodar won
- Set 1 Winner: Duckworth vs JodarJodar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.