CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f5b07e4f730427a15baca77a128098017d8a4585e8864206c62d8b9f23394ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, HEROIC Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HEROIC Academy | 24c | 1,817$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE | 63c | 1,032$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.05 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed HEROIC Academy | 35c | 581.06$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KOLESIE | 69c | 520.55$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.77 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…5090backed HEROIC Academy | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed HEROIC Academy | 5c | 437.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed HEROIC Academy | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked HEROIC Academy | 21c | 258.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked HEROIC Academy | 12c | 225$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed HEROIC Academy | 11c | 217.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed KOLESIE | 71c | 211.25$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked HEROIC Academy | 18c | 170.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked KOLESIE | 70c | 170.28$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed KOLESIE | 69c | 128$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed HEROIC Academy | 11c | 116.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KOLESIE | 61c | 115.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed KOLESIE | 66c | 84.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked HEROIC Academy | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked HEROIC Academy | 36c | 67.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed KOLESIE | 60c | 62.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HEROIC Academy | 32c | 47.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe83…82a8backed KOLESIE | 67c | 44.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 107 | 75.7%81 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked KOLESIE | 68c | 25.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed KOLESIE | 65c | 22.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…7e01backed KOLESIE | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageKOLESIE won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 WinnerHEROIC Academy won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5)KOLESIE won
- Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5)HEROIC Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.