TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0bc…7e01

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Endless Journey (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.79
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.61
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Endless Journey (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.4
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.04
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.62
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+62%+$24.3
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$20.62
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ODDIK - Map 1 Winnerbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$8.23
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$90.09
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$12.21
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.18
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.98
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.71
Counter-Strike: Wampirki vs SAW - Map 2 Winnerbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.79
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.14
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.31
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$10.57
Counter-Strike: illwill vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$5.58
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.52
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+129.4%+$13.57
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.2
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+627.7%+$154.03
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.47
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.04
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$27.66
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.25
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.28
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.14
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+181.4%+$104.06
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.31
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$10.68
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.75
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Peyton Stearns vs Janice Tjenbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.71
Jiujiang: Mark Lajal vs Marat Sharipovbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$9.58
Shymkent 2: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.11
Saint-Malo: Elsa Jacquemot vs Bianca Andreescubacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.65
Madrid Open: Martin Landaluce vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$18.77
Rome: Andrea Guerrieri vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.46
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Filsbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+47.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$25.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$21.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$9.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs Los Angeles Knight Ridersbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.