Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb5a9544f594fa924432405b8a644f6530b54747439d21eda93f6aa16bce8c8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team AIONof Nemiga Gaming, Team AION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team AION | 34c | 11,698$4,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,685.78 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team AION | 40c | 7,201$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.47 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 4,136$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.92 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 2,865$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.18 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 2,438$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.73 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed Team AION | 49c | 1,978$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.35 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team AION | 39c | 1,889$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.15 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 1,814$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.78 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team AION | 32c | 1,800$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.89 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 1,728$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.45 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Nemiga Gaming | 3c | 1,345$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 1,325$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.85 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nemiga Gaming | 11c | 1,265$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.85 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 1,260$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.67 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team AION | 60c | 1,200$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.51 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 1,091$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.76 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 997.95$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.69 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ee…7b23backed Team AION | 16c | 987.78$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 13cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 971.01$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.65 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 944.45$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.1 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 860.55$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.96 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team AION | 47c | 851.21$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.21 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 830.09$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.02 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Nemiga Gaming | 4c | 750$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 676.83$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.96 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 620.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team AION | 33c | 569.78$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.04 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team AION | 31c | 555$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.95 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 542.07$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 518$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.35 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team AION | 33c | 515.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.71 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team AION | 13c | 500$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 499.97$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.34 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…5059backed Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 496.68$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 494.99$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.25 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 463$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.44 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Team AION | 52c | 440$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.3 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 430.93$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.95 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nemiga Gaming | 80c | 399.75$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.67 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 396.67$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.85 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 351$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.28 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 342.29$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.6 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 334.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 327.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.44 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 288$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.42 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 286.83$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.18 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 266.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.48 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 263.93$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Team AION | 34c | 257.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.03 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 257.37$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 250.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Team AION | 40c | 248.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.72 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 246.08$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 244.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 234.88$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.37 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 224$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.64 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…6a46backed Nemiga Gaming | 78c | 215.25$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 212.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team AION | 28c | 206.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.66 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Nemiga Gaming | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 200$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Team AION | 15c | 193.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.62 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team AION | 45c | 190.63$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Team AION | 33c | 174.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 172.79$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9aa…7bcebacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team AION | 13c | 171.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.57 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team AION | 18c | 166.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.65 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 165.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 157.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed Team AION | 60c | 155.44$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 149.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 138.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 134.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 134.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team AION | 17c | 130.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Team AION | 30c | 125$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 118.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 117.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 107.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 105.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Team AION | 26c | 105.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…e5dfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…5e2abacked Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 99.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Team AION | 36c | 97.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 94.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d93fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 94.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 92.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 91.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION (BO3) - European Pro League Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION - Game 2 WinnerTeam AION won
- Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Team AION (+1.5)Team AION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.