Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeac35174738ad57feee974d82d1edbc4dae6d5a83c737ce3a1bc0842d53c0be3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team AIONof Nemiga Gaming, Team AION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team AION | 37c | 15,000$5,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,480.47 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…948bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 9,022$6,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,288.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…218ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 8,168$5,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,690.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Team AION | 39c | 7,120$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335.1 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 6,734$4,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,655.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team AION | 28c | 5,566$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030.79 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 4,247$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.98 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 3,694$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.65 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 3,456$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.46 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team AION | 31c | 3,351$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.01 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 3,321$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.98 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team AION | 65c | 2,772$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.76 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 2,585$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.47 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team AION | 25c | 2,100$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.58 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team AION | 29c | 2,059$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.51 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team AION | 24c | 1,718$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.31 | 263 | 51%134 W · 129 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team AION | 26c | 1,638$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.1 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Team AION | 28c | 1,536$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.74 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team AION | 34c | 1,523$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.1 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team AION | 29c | 1,507$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.9 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Nemiga Gaming | 75c | 1,338$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.74 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 1,310$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.47 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team AION | 30c | 1,294$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.16 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team AION | 35c | 1,271$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.41 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team AION | 37c | 1,229$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.42 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 1,173$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.46 | 427 | 67%286 W · 141 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team AION | 26c | 1,153$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.2 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 1,123$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.81 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Team AION | 33c | 1,100$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.47 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team AION | 53c | 954.66$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.03 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 939.2$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.86 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 820.1$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.88 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 797$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.73 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Team AION | 31c | 787.83$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.03 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team AION | 19c | 761.67$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.85 | 479 | 53.9%258 W · 221 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Team AION | 39c | 755.56$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.56 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 740.89$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.61 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…21a7backed Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 732.55$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.09 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 690.71$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.16 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 689.2$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.35 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 680.81$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.76 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 680.51$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.79 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Team AION | 29c | 668$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.51 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Team AION | 7c | 612.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.49 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 600.01$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.9 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Team AION | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team AION | 27c | 595.57$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.1 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…3c28backed Team AION | 30c | 530.4$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team AION | 39c | 528.61$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.45 | 339 | 51.3%174 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Team AION | 30c | 519.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.4 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Team AION | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 499.88$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.56 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 494.44$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 487.66$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.35 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team AION | 36c | 477.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.19 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team AION | 26c | 472.53$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.95 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Team AION | 29c | 472.41$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.41 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team AION | 4c | 467.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.73 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team AION | 33c | 438.86$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.35 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 400$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 399.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Nemiga Gaming | 5c | 392.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Team AION | 8c | 380$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,106.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team AION | 50c | 378.52$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.86 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Team AION | 37c | 320$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 300.4$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.74 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team AION | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team AION | 15c | 300$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 298.82$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.26 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 295$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 267.04$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.27 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Team AION | 26c | 262.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.26 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 256.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Team AION | 27c | 222.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.67 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team AION | 29c | 218.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.85 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Team AION | 23c | 208.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.63 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 202.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 202.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2a8ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 200$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed Nemiga Gaming | 76c | 199.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.99 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 191.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…d388backed Team AION | 27c | 190$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Team AION | 28c | 189$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -18.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 80c | 188.97$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 186.37$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.46 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 178.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 177.43$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.39 | 259 | 48.3%125 W · 134 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Team AION | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 169.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 157$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…5e85backed Team AION | 51c | 156.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 75c | 155.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…ce3bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 154.39$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Team AION | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 77c | 149.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 148.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION (BO3) - European Pro League Group ATeam AION won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Team AION (+1.5)Team AION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.